The Matchup Zone

2018 NCAA Tournament Probabilities are now live.

Projected 2018 NCAA Tournament Bracket

Last updated Jul 18, 2018 1:49 pm EDT

SOUTH (Atlanta)

 

EAST (Boston)

Charlotte
 
 
San Diego
 
 
Nashville
 
 
Detroit
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pittsburgh
 
 
Boise
 
 
Dallas
 
 
Detroit
 
 

WEST (Los Angeles)

 
 
 

MIDWEST (Omaha)

Charlotte
 
 
Boise
 
 
Dallas
 
 
Pittsburgh
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Charlotte
 
 
Wichita
 
 
Nashville
 
 
Wichita
 
 
Team Conf. TAPE (Rank) W - L expW - expL Exp. RPI (Rank) Exp. RPISOS (Rank) Points (Rank) STAPLE (Rank) Seed Pod Site Region Day +/- Week Month
Virginia ACC 881 (2) 31 - 2 32.0 - 2.0 0.6782 (1) 0.5921 (11) 950 (1) 100.0% (1) 1 Charlotte South -- -- --
Villanova BigEast 885 (1) 30 - 4 30.0 - 4.0 0.6642 (2) 0.5856 (22) 937 (2) 100.0% (2) 1 Pittsburgh East -- -- --
North Carolina ACC 734 (11) 25 - 10 26.0 - 10.0 0.6473 (5) 0.6235 (1) 911 (3) 100.0% (3) 1 Charlotte Midwest -- +1 +2
Duke ACC 852 (4) 26 - 7 27.0 - 7.0 0.6436 (6) 0.5876 (20) 902 (4) 100.0% (4) 1 Charlotte West -- -- +1
Kansas Big12 767 (9) 27 - 7 27.9 - 7.1 0.6480 (4) 0.6033 (2) 900 (5) 100.0% (5) 2 Wichita Midwest +1 +1 +1
Cincinnati AmCon 792 (6) 30 - 4 30.9 - 4.1 0.6407 (7) 0.5592 (59) 896 (6) 100.0% (6) 2 Detroit South -- -- --
Michigan BigTen 768 (8) 27 - 7 27.9 - 7.1 0.6265 (10) 0.5636 (56) 896 (7) 100.0% (7) 2 Detroit East -- -1 +5
Michigan St. BigTen 871 (3) 29 - 4 29.9 - 4.1 0.6243 (11) 0.5430 (84) 895 (8) 100.0% (8) 2 Pittsburgh West -- -- -1
Purdue BigTen 828 (5) 28 - 6 29.0 - 6.0 0.6307 (9) 0.5674 (49) 893 (9) 100.0% (9) 3 Nashville Midwest -1 -1 --
Xavier BigEast 718 (14) 28 - 5 28.0 - 5.0 0.6501 (3) 0.5856 (23) 887 (10) 100.0% (10) 3 Nashville South -- -- -1
Tennessee SEC 642 (21) 25 - 8 25.9 - 8.1 0.6307 (8) 0.5857 (21) 884 (11) 100.0% (11) 3 Dallas East -- +1 +2
Auburn SEC 654 (19) 25 - 7 25.8 - 7.2 0.6223 (14) 0.5662 (51) 871 (12) 99.9% (12) 3 Dallas West -- -- -1
Gonzaga WCC 781 (7) 30 - 4 30.8 - 4.2 0.6086 (22) 0.5201 (121) 870 (13) 99.9% (13) 4 Boise West -- -- --
Wichita St. AmCon 742 (10) 25 - 7 25.9 - 7.1 0.6218 (16) 0.5742 (37) 868 (14) 99.8% (14) 4 Wichita Midwest -- -1 --
Texas Tech Big12 730 (12) 24 - 9 24.9 - 9.1 0.6108 (20) 0.5692 (44) 864 (15) 99.8% (15) 4 San Diego South -- -- -3
Kentucky SEC 596 (29) 24 - 10 24.6 - 10.4 0.6223 (13) 0.5993 (4) 864 (16) 99.8% (16) 4 Boise East +3 +3 +7
Ohio St. BigTen 678 (17) 24 - 8 24.8 - 8.2 0.6133 (19) 0.5791 (28) 860 (17) 99.7% (17) 5 Wichita Midwest -1 -1 -2
Arizona Pac12 716 (15) 27 - 7 27.8 - 7.2 0.6222 (15) 0.5642 (55) 855 (18) 99.6% (18) 5 San Diego South -- -- --
West Virginia Big12 723 (13) 24 - 10 24.8 - 10.2 0.6058 (23) 0.5767 (32) 853 (19) 99.5% (19) 5 Boise West -- -- --
Clemson ACC 597 (27) 23 - 9 23.6 - 9.4 0.6243 (12) 0.5922 (10) 853 (20) 99.5% (20) 5 Boise East -- -- -1
Houston AmCon 705 (16) 26 - 7 26.7 - 7.3 0.6200 (17) 0.5535 (71) 836 (21) 98.4% (21) 6 Dallas West -1 -- +3
TCU Big12 653 (20) 21 - 11 21.0 - 11.0 0.6037 (24) 0.5940 (8) 829 (22) 97.6% (22) 6 Dallas East -- -1 +1
Arkansas SEC 638 (23) 23 - 11 23.6 - 11.4 0.5979 (29) 0.5752 (35) 829 (23) 97.6% (23) 6 Nashville Midwest -- +1 +3
Miami (FL) ACC 576 (34) 22 - 9 22.6 - 9.4 0.6021 (25) 0.5685 (45) 824 (24) 96.9% (24) 6 Nashville South -- -- --
Rhode Island A10 597 (28) 25 - 7 25.6 - 7.4 0.6107 (21) 0.5533 (72) 823 (25) 96.7% (25) 7 Pittsburgh West -1 -1 -3
Florida SEC 617 (25) 20 - 12 20.0 - 12.0 0.5823 (41) 0.5826 (24) 819 (26) 95.9% (26) 7 Detroit East -- -- --
Nevada MWC 567 (37) 27 - 7 27.6 - 7.4 0.6141 (18) 0.5525 (74) 814 (27) 94.7% (27) 7 Wichita Midwest -- -1 -1
Creighton BigEast 660 (18) 20 - 11 20.5 - 11.5 0.5837 (39) 0.5682 (46) 813 (28) 94.5% (28) 7 Detroit South -- -- -1
St. Mary's WCC 640 (22) 28 - 5 29.0 - 5.0 0.5840 (38) 0.4991 (174) 799 (29) 89.3% (29) 8 Pittsburgh East -- -- --
Virginia Tech ACC 549 (42) 21 - 11 21.6 - 11.4 0.5749 (55) 0.5583 (62) 795 (30) 87.5% (30) 9 Pittsburgh East -- -1 --
Butler BigEast 591 (32) 20 - 13 20.4 - 13.6 0.5855 (36) 0.5899 (15) 792 (31) 86.1% (31) 8 Charlotte South -- +1 --
Texas A&M SEC 450 (62) 20 - 12 20.6 - 12.4 0.5996 (27) 0.5962 (6) 790 (32) 84.8% (32) 8 Charlotte Midwest +1 -- --
St. Bonaventure A10 516 (49) 25 - 7 25.6 - 7.4 0.6011 (26) 0.5368 (93) 788 (33) 83.6% (33) 8 Charlotte West +1 +2 New
Kansas St. Big12 570 (35) 22 - 11 22.5 - 11.5 0.5797 (45) 0.5589 (61) 788 (34) 83.5% (34) 9 Charlotte Midwest -1 -- +2
Seton Hall BigEast 569 (36) 21 - 11 21.6 - 11.4 0.5895 (34) 0.5790 (29) 787 (35) 83.3% (35) 9 Charlotte West -1 -- +1
Florida St. ACC 631 (24) 20 - 11 20.5 - 11.5 0.5759 (52) 0.5542 (69) 786 (36) 82.5% (36) 10 Pittsburgh West -- -1 -3
Louisville ACC 595 (30) 20 - 13 20.8 - 13.2 0.5849 (37) 0.5899 (16) 784 (37) 81.2% (37) 10 Detroit South -- +1 -2
Oklahoma Big12 528 (45) 18 - 13 18.4 - 13.6 0.5827 (40) 0.5886 (18) 779 (38) 77.5% (38) 9 Charlotte South -- -1 -4
Southern Cal Pac12 601 (26) 23 - 11 24.0 - 11.0 0.5899 (33) 0.5647 (54) 773 (39) 72.7% (39) 10 Detroit East -- +1 New
Loyola (IL) MVC 520 (47) 27 - 5 27.4 - 5.6 0.5963 (31) 0.5098 (143) 773 (40) 72.6% (40) 10 Wichita Midwest -- -- +2
New Mexico St. WAC 516 (48) 25 - 5 25.4 - 5.6 0.5818 (43) 0.4971 (179) 769 (41) 69.4% (41) 11 Dallas West -- +1 -2
Missouri SEC 592 (31) 19 - 12 19.5 - 12.5 0.5792 (47) 0.5736 (38) 768 (42) 68.7% (42) 11 Nashville South -- -1 -1
UCLA Pac12 472 (55) 21 - 11 21.4 - 11.6 0.5876 (35) 0.5702 (41) 767 (43) 68.1% (43) 11 Dallas East -- New New
Providence BigEast 403 (72) 21 - 13 21.4 - 13.6 0.5988 (28) 0.5918 (12) 765 (44) 66.4% (44) 11 Nashville Midwest -- New New
Texas Big12 525 (46) 19 - 14 19.4 - 14.6 0.5787 (50) 0.5929 (9) 761 (45) 62.2% (45) 11 Nashville Midwest +3 +4 +1
Baylor Big12 555 (39) 17 - 14 17.9 - 14.1 0.5719 (58) 0.5885 (19) 752 (46) 53.4% (46) 11 Dallas East New -- --
South Dakota St. Summit 388 (78) 24 - 6 24.2 - 6.8 0.5793 (46) 0.5039 (156) 741 (52) 43.3% (52) 12 Boise East -- New New
Buffalo MAC 388 (77) 27 - 8 27.2 - 8.8 0.5968 (30) 0.5384 (90) 716 (59) 21.7% (59) 12 Wichita Midwest -- +1 +1
Murray St. OVC 369 (81) 24 - 5 24.2 - 5.8 0.5742 (56) 0.4949 (188) 716 (60) 21.3% (60) 12 Boise West -- -- +1
Davidson A10 580 (33) 21 - 11 21.4 - 11.6 0.5792 (49) 0.5426 (86) 713 (61) 19.5% (61) 12 San Diego South New New New
San Diego St. MWC 471 (56) 21 - 10 21.3 - 10.7 0.5706 (61) 0.5361 (95) 701 (65) 12.4% (65) 13 San Diego South -- New New
Western Kentucky CUSA 354 (84) 23 - 10 23.5 - 10.5 0.5792 (48) 0.5444 (83) 695 (67) 9.6% (67) 13 Wichita Midwest -- New New
Montana BigSky 303 (104) 24 - 7 24.1 - 7.9 0.5558 (85) 0.4732 (256) 638 (80) 0.3% (80) 13 Boise West -- +1 +1
Bucknell Pat 354 (85) 25 - 9 25.1 - 9.9 0.5560 (84) 0.4867 (215) 621 (83) 0.1% (83) 13 Boise East -- +1 +2
UNC Greensboro SoCon 339 (90) 24 - 7 24.2 - 7.8 0.5644 (71) 0.4888 (205) 619 (84) 0.1% (84) 14 Nashville South -2 New New
Charleston CAA 294 (107) 24 - 7 24.2 - 7.8 0.5659 (67) 0.4874 (211) 614 (87) 0.0% (87) 14 Nashville Midwest -- New New
Pennsylvania Ivy 311 (100) 24 - 8 24.1 - 8.9 0.5343 (108) 0.4697 (266) 588 (91) 0.0% (91) 14 Dallas East -- +1 +1
Stephen F. Austin Sland 227 (134) 24 - 6 24.1 - 6.9 0.5422 (100) 0.4524 (316) 556 (100) 0.0% (100) 14 Dallas West -- +2 +2
Georgia St. SunBelt 304 (102) 22 - 10 22.1 - 10.9 0.5296 (115) 0.4745 (250) 476 (122) 0.0% (122) 15 Pittsburgh West New New New
Lipscomb Asun 122 (198) 20 - 9 20.0 - 10.0 0.5434 (99) 0.4860 (219) 456 (127) 0.0% (127) 15 Detroit South -- +1 New
CSU Fullerton BigWest 199 (150) 18 - 11 18.0 - 12.0 0.5242 (130) 0.4902 (200) 445 (131) 0.0% (131) 15 Wichita Midwest New New New
Wright St. Horiz 201 (147) 23 - 10 23.1 - 10.9 0.5289 (118) 0.4724 (257) 434 (136) 0.0% (136) 15 Detroit East -- New New
Iona MAAC 200 (148) 20 - 13 20.0 - 14.0 0.5326 (110) 0.5031 (157) 433 (137) 0.0% (137) 16 Charlotte Midwest -- New New
MD Baltimore Co. AmEast 96 (217) 21 - 10 21.0 - 11.0 0.5325 (111) 0.4807 (231) 418 (143) 0.0% (139) 16 Charlotte West -- New New
Radford BigSou 193 (155) 20 - 12 20.8 - 12.2 0.5215 (139) 0.4670 (275) 379 (153) 0.0% (139) 16 Charlotte South -- -- New
Texas Southern SWAC 70 (244) 15 - 19 15.7 - 19.3 0.4760 (222) 0.4612 (293) 78 (230) 0.0% (139) 16 Pittsburgh East -- -- --
Long Island NEC 40 (288) 17 - 16 17.2 - 16.8 0.4625 (243) 0.4452 (324) -110 (278) 0.0% (139) 16 Pittsburgh East -- New New
N.C. Central MEAC 31 (305) 16 - 15 16.3 - 15.7 0.4389 (283) 0.4010 (350) -140 (289) 0.0% (139) 16 Charlotte South -- New New
Syracuse ACC 511 (50) 20 - 13 20.5 - 13.5 0.5821 (42) 0.5906 (14) 749 (47) 50.9% (47) Out -- Out
Middle Tennessee St. CUSA 463 (59) 23 - 7 23.7 - 7.3 0.5937 (32) 0.5394 (88) 749 (48) 50.7% (48) -- Out Out
N.C. State ACC 419 (66) 21 - 11 21.4 - 11.6 0.5714 (60) 0.5604 (58) 748 (49) 50.0% (49) Out Out --
Alabama SEC 507 (51) 19 - 15 19.4 - 15.6 0.5804 (44) 0.5989 (5) 747 (50) 48.9% (50) -- -- Out
Arizona St. Pac12 539 (44) 20 - 11 20.5 - 11.5 0.5705 (62) 0.5562 (67) 746 (51) 48.0% (51) -- Out Out
Nebraska BigTen 403 (71) 22 - 10 22.3 - 10.7 0.5754 (54) 0.5380 (92) 737 (53) 39.2% (53) -- -- --
Marquette BigEast 494 (53) 19 - 13 19.8 - 13.2 0.5727 (57) 0.5781 (30) 737 (54) 38.9% (54) -- -- --
Boise St. MWC 541 (43) 22 - 8 22.6 - 8.4 0.5776 (51) 0.5207 (118) 736 (55) 38.2% (55) -- Out Out
Oklahoma St. Big12 480 (54) 19 - 14 19.9 - 14.1 0.5590 (79) 0.5665 (50) 734 (56) 36.5% (56) -- -- --
Notre Dame ACC 554 (40) 19 - 14 20.0 - 14.0 0.5686 (63) 0.5678 (48) 729 (57) 31.7% (57) -- -- --
Maryland BigTen 549 (41) 18 - 13 18.0 - 13.0 0.5639 (72) 0.5700 (42) 720 (58) 24.5% (58) -- -- Out
Mississippi St. SEC 422 (64) 21 - 11 21.7 - 11.3 0.5646 (70) 0.5428 (85) 710 (62) 17.5% (62) -- -- --
Penn St. BigTen 565 (38) 21 - 13 21.8 - 13.2 0.5601 (77) 0.5494 (77) 710 (63) 17.2% (63) -- -- --
Old Dominion CUSA 495 (52) 25 - 7 25.0 - 7.0 0.5618 (75) 0.4863 (217) 702 (64) 13.0% (64) -- Out Out
Utah Pac12 404 (70) 19 - 11 19.8 - 11.2 0.5716 (59) 0.5570 (66) 700 (66) 11.6% (66) -- -- --
BYU WCC 423 (63) 24 - 10 24.5 - 10.5 0.5677 (65) 0.5234 (112) 680 (68) 4.6% (68) -- -- --
Vermont AmEast 370 (80) 26 - 7 26.3 - 7.7 0.5682 (64) 0.4903 (199) 680 (69) 4.6% (69) -- Out Out
UL Lafayette SunBelt 407 (68) 25 - 6 25.3 - 6.7 0.5652 (69) 0.4823 (225) 679 (70) 4.3% (70) -- Out Out
Georgia SEC 454 (61) 18 - 15 18.0 - 15.0 0.5608 (76) 0.5680 (47) 677 (71) 4.0% (71) -- -- --
LSU SEC 471 (58) 17 - 14 17.7 - 14.3 0.5542 (88) 0.5709 (40) 668 (72) 2.4% (72) -- -- --
Boston College ACC 421 (65) 19 - 15 19.5 - 15.5 0.5549 (86) 0.5589 (60) 668 (73) 2.4% (73) -- -- --
Oregon Pac12 397 (74) 22 - 12 22.8 - 12.2 0.5656 (68) 0.5476 (79) 666 (74) 2.2% (74) -- -- --
Temple AmCon 314 (97) 17 - 15 17.2 - 15.8 0.5754 (53) 0.5907 (13) 658 (75) 1.3% (75) -- -- --
South Carolina SEC 409 (67) 16 - 16 16.0 - 16.0 0.5533 (91) 0.5757 (33) 655 (76) 1.1% (76) -- -- --
St. John's BigEast 404 (69) 15 - 17 15.0 - 17.0 0.5528 (92) 0.5952 (7) 651 (77) 0.8% (77) -- -- --
South Dakota Summit 471 (57) 22 - 8 22.0 - 8.0 0.5504 (94) 0.4756 (245) 648 (78) 0.7% (78) -- Out Out