The Matchup Zone

Cal Poly Mustangs

2019 Cal Poly Projections

2019 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Donovan Fields SR PG -1.30 (2021) 0.65 (1837) -0.58 (2071) 0.56 (1598)
Keith Smith SR PG -2.71 (3101) 0.19 (1347) -0.90 (2693) 0.51 (1697)
Mark Crowe SO Wing -1.85 (2464) 0.75 (1942) -0.87 (2621) 0.41 (1946)
Jakub Niziol SR Wing -2.02 (2588) 1.34 (2646) -1.11 (3122) 0.38 (2025)
Hank Hollingsworth JR Big -1.36 (2064) 2.07 (3393) -0.88 (2658) 0.36 (2054)
Karlis Garoza SO PF -0.58 (1513) 1.65 (2986) -0.62 (2151) 0.36 (2080)
Marcellus Garrick SR Wing -1.86 (2474) 2.44 (3762) -1.35 (3567) 0.19 (2602)
Job Alexander JR CG -2.86 (3234) 1.76 (3097) -1.26 (3391) 0.10 (2971)
Tuukka Jaakkola FR PF -2.31 (2789) 2.94 (4120) -0.93 (2740) 0.01 (3548)
Kyle Colvin FR SF -2.72 (3108) 2.69 (3958) -1.06 (3026) -0.00 (3642)
Daxton Carr FR SF -2.72 (3108) 2.69 (3958) -1.06 (3026) -0.00 (3642)
Jared Rice FR SG -3.48 (3675) 2.63 (3914) -1.28 (3442) -0.02 (3751)
Colin McCarthy FR CG -3.64 (3779) 2.26 (3583) -1.35 (3565) -0.02 (3787)
Junior Ballard FR CG -3.64 (3779) 2.26 (3583) -1.35 (3565) -0.02 (3787)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Keith Smith SR PG 24.7 2.7 7.5 1.2 3.8 1.3 2.1 0.6 2.9 3.5 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.1 0.7 7.8
Jakub Niziol SR Wing 22.5 1.8 5.8 1.3 4.5 0.9 1.4 0.8 2.4 3.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.2 1.0 5.8
Hank Hollingsworth JR Big 22.4 1.9 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.8 3.0 4.8 0.5 0.9 0.5 1.6 1.7 4.2
Marcellus Garrick SR Wing 20.7 1.4 4.8 0.7 2.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 1.7 2.8 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.1 4.3
Donovan Fields SR PG 19.4 4.1 9.9 0.8 2.5 1.6 1.9 0.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 1.4 1.0 0.1 1.3 10.6
Mark Crowe SO Wing 17.6 0.7 2.4 0.4 1.5 0.2 0.3 1.0 2.0 3.0 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.2 1.7 2.1
Job Alexander JR CG 15.0 3.1 7.5 1.2 3.4 1.1 1.6 0.8 1.6 2.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.0 8.5
Karlis Garoza SO PF 13.5 0.8 2.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 1.4 1.8 3.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 1.6 2.4
Daxton Carr FR SF 11.3 1.8 4.3 0.4 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 2.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 2.0 4.8
Kyle Colvin FR SF 11.3 1.8 4.3 0.4 1.3 0.7 1.1 1.0 1.4 2.3 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.3 2.0 4.8
Tuukka Jaakkola FR PF 8.1 1.2 2.8 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.8 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.3 1.5 3.2
Junior Ballard FR CG 5.3 0.9 2.3 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.5
Colin McCarthy FR CG 5.3 0.9 2.3 0.4 1.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 2.5
Jared Rice FR SG 2.8 0.5 1.2 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1.3
Cal Poly TEAM 200.0 22.2 61.6 7.5 24.9 7.6 11.2 11.9 22.0 33.9 11.1 10.9 6.4 2.9 19.1 59.5
Cal Poly TEAM 200.0 27.6 54.5 7.5 18.3 15.6 21.9 10.5 31.8 10.5 15.2 11.4 6.3 5.3 13.8 78.3