The Matchup Zone

Sacramento State Hornets

2015 Sacramento State Projections

2015 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Mikh McKinney SR+ PG -0.56 (931) -0.21 (628) -0.19 (817) 1.45 (308)
Dylan Garrity SR PG 0.82 (334) 2.24 (3226) -0.73 (2050) 1.05 (583)
Nick Hornsby SO SF -1.55 (1567) -0.22 (621) -0.43 (1423) 0.78 (868)
Cody Demps JR Wing -1.94 (1816) 0.79 (1460) -1.29 (3135) 0.65 (1045)
Dreon Barlett JR Wing -0.85 (1087) 2.12 (3101) -0.71 (2011) 0.42 (1463)
Zach Mills SR SF -2.67 (2352) 2.21 (3198) -1.72 (3713) 0.07 (2498)
James Herrick FR Big -2.74 (2395) 1.99 (2949) -1.12 (2792) 0.01 (2857)
Eric Stuteville SO PF -2.16 (1986) 3.04 (3777) -1.53 (3497) 0.01 (2860)
Mason Stuteville FR PF -2.78 (2424) 2.41 (3375) -1.11 (2778) 0.01 (2884)
Jiday Ugbaja FR PG -4.32 (3266) 1.13 (1870) -1.70 (3688) -0.01 (2969)
Alex Tiffin SR+ PF -2.72 (2388) 2.98 (3744) -1.50 (3457) -0.03 (3199)
Marcus Graves FR PG -7.57 (3963) 1.74 (2646) -0.22 (865) -0.04 (3338)
Justin Strings FR SF -7.57 (3963) 1.74 (2646) -0.22 (865) -0.04 (3338)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Mikh McKinney SR+ PG 34.5 5.5 12.4 1.4 3.9 4.1 5.0 1.1 3.3 4.4 4.1 2.4 1.3 0.2 2.5 16.3
Dylan Garrity SR PG 31.7 4.3 8.8 2.3 5.1 2.3 2.7 0.4 1.7 2.1 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.0 2.4 13.3
Cody Demps JR Wing 29.4 3.1 6.9 0.5 1.7 2.1 3.0 1.4 3.6 5.0 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.0 8.8
Nick Hornsby SO SF 23.1 1.9 5.6 0.3 1.1 2.0 2.6 2.2 3.5 5.7 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.4 2.8 6.0
Dreon Barlett JR Wing 20.8 2.1 4.9 1.1 2.6 0.7 1.0 0.6 2.1 2.7 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.4 6.1
Zach Mills SR SF 17.8 2.0 4.8 0.8 2.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 2.3 3.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 5.4
Alex Tiffin SR+ PF 13.5 1.4 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.0 2.0 2.9 0.4 0.9 0.2 0.2 2.1 3.3
Jiday Ugbaja FR PG 11.7 1.0 2.7 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.7 3.0
Eric Stuteville SO PF 7.3 1.0 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.7 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.7
Mason Stuteville FR PF 4.3 0.4 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1
James Herrick FR Big 2.2 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5
Justin Strings FR SF 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Marcus Graves FR PG 1.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Sacramento State TEAM 200.0 22.2 54.3 6.6 18.6 12.0 16.2 9.2 20.4 29.5 12.3 12.2 5.7 1.2 19.9 62.9
Sacramento State TEAM 200.0 24.9 52.2 5.9 16.5 16.4 23.7 11.2 25.2 11.2 15.5 11.6 6.2 4.4 16.3 72.0