The Matchup Zone

Michigan State Spartans

2014 Michigan State Projections

2014 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Gary Harris SO SG 3.44 (108) -2.02 (200) 3.01 (42) 3.04 (46)
Branden Dawson JR PF 2.52 (184) -3.95 (36) 3.03 (40) 2.60 (106)
Denzel Valentine SO SF 2.28 (214) -2.97 (84) 2.18 (103) 2.54 (113)
Keith Appling SR SG 0.68 (488) -2.06 (193) 1.48 (185) 2.24 (164)
Adreian Payne SR Big 2.97 (144) -1.79 (241) 2.17 (105) 1.98 (234)
Travis Trice JR Combo -2.97 (1839) -1.83 (236) -0.32 (958) 0.67 (1016)
Kenny Kaminski FR+ PF -1.07 (974) 2.61 (2595) -0.75 (1447) 0.18 (1607)
Matt Costello SO Big -2.61 (1700) -1.51 (322) -0.18 (803) 0.10 (1790)
Alex Gauna JR+ SF -3.19 (2038) 0.62 (1343) -0.61 (1284) 0.09 (1798)
Gavin Schilling FR PF -1.39 (1086) 3.53 (3703) -1.07 (1863) 0.04 (1975)
Russell Byrd JR+ Wing -6.73 (3685) 1.21 (1780) -1.63 (2619) -0.04 (2527)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Gary Harris SO SG 33.6 5.8 11.0 2.3 4.9 2.9 3.9 1.2 2.4 3.6 1.7 1.5 1.7 0.3 2.1 16.9
Keith Appling SR SG 32.9 4.6 10.2 1.3 3.6 3.7 5.0 0.4 3.3 3.7 3.4 2.2 1.2 0.7 2.3 14.2
Denzel Valentine SO SF 28.7 3.1 6.3 0.7 2.2 1.5 2.1 1.9 4.6 6.5 3.5 2.6 1.1 0.5 2.5 8.3
Branden Dawson JR PF 26.3 4.1 7.4 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.9 2.5 4.1 6.5 1.4 1.9 1.6 1.1 1.6 9.9
Adreian Payne SR Big 23.3 3.6 6.5 0.5 1.2 2.7 3.2 2.2 5.3 7.5 0.8 1.6 0.7 1.4 2.2 10.2
Travis Trice JR Combo 18.9 1.9 4.9 1.0 2.5 0.9 1.2 0.3 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.6 5.7
Kenny Kaminski FR+ PF 12.9 1.2 2.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.9 2.9 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.5 1.5 3.3
Gavin Schilling FR PF 10.3 1.0 2.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.5 2.3 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 1.2 2.7
Alex Gauna JR+ SF 7.2 0.8 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 1.7
Matt Costello SO Big 2.8 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7
Russell Byrd JR+ Wing 2.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 25.3 54.2 6.6 17.5 13.5 19.0 11.0 24.6 35.6 13.3 13.6 8.4 4.0 17.1 70.8
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 22.1 54.4 5.6 18.0 12.5 17.8 10.8 21.1 10.8 11.0 13.3 7.2 3.1 17.7 62.3