The Matchup Zone

Louisville Cardinals

2014 Louisville Projections

2014 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Russ Smith SR Combo 1.77 (297) -3.90 (40) 2.74 (53) 2.82 (67)
Wayne Blackshear JR SF 0.26 (569) -2.32 (157) 1.00 (265) 1.43 (453)
Montrezl Harrell SO Big 2.16 (234) -0.94 (490) 1.08 (248) 1.36 (489)
Luke Hancock SR+ SG -0.46 (760) -1.82 (237) 0.55 (388) 1.34 (505)
Stephan Van Treese SR+ Big 1.59 (324) -0.29 (773) 0.41 (439) 0.95 (767)
Kevin Ware JR SG -4.72 (3098) -3.40 (62) -0.42 (1067) 0.26 (1481)
Chris Jones JR PG -1.59 (1205) 2.98 (2749) -1.73 (3009) 0.18 (1622)
Chane Behanan JR PF 2.72 (167) -2.79 (104) 2.44 (77) 0.18 (1624)
Akoy Agau FR Big -1.67 (1247) 3.23 (3157) -1.07 (1889) 0.02 (2033)
Mangok Mathiang FR+ PF -3.70 (2452) 2.14 (2379) -1.38 (2334) -0.01 (2192)
Tim Henderson SR SG -11.71 (3986) -4.96 (12) -0.25 (863) -0.02 (2322)
Anton Gill FR SG -2.57 (1675) 3.17 (3041) -1.75 (3029) -0.03 (2461)
Terry Rozier FR PG -3.26 (2059) 3.77 (3857) -2.20 (3576) -0.41 (3904)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Terry Rozier FR PG 31.4 3.4 7.9 1.1 3.1 1.9 2.8 0.7 2.8 3.6 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.3 2.5 9.7
Russ Smith SR Combo 30.6 6.4 13.4 1.7 4.5 5.9 7.2 1.3 3.1 4.4 3.0 2.5 2.2 0.1 2.4 20.5
Chris Jones JR PG 26.0 3.0 6.6 1.0 2.7 1.5 2.1 0.6 2.3 2.9 3.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 2.2 8.5
Luke Hancock SR+ SG 23.7 2.6 5.8 1.6 4.0 1.8 2.4 0.9 2.6 3.6 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.2 2.0 8.6
Wayne Blackshear JR SF 21.5 3.2 7.1 1.3 3.5 1.6 2.2 0.7 3.3 4.1 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.4 2.3 9.3
Montrezl Harrell SO Big 19.2 3.0 5.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2.3 2.2 2.9 5.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 1.4 1.2 7.2
Stephan Van Treese SR+ Big 15.7 1.1 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.9 2.8 2.6 5.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 1.4 2.8
Anton Gill FR SG 12.5 1.4 3.4 0.5 1.4 0.8 1.1 0.5 1.3 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.1 4.1
Kevin Ware JR SG 7.7 0.8 1.7 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 2.3
Akoy Agau FR Big 4.9 0.6 1.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.5
Tim Henderson SR SG 2.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.4
Chane Behanan JR PF 2.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
Mangok Mathiang FR+ PF 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5
Louisville TEAM 200.0 24.8 57.0 7.8 22.1 15.2 20.9 11.7 22.3 34.1 13.5 12.7 9.5 3.3 18.0 73.0
Louisville TEAM 200.0 22.9 53.9 5.9 17.7 13.8 19.8 12.2 23.8 12.2 11.2 16.4 7.9 3.0 18.6 65.5