The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Virginia. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | VIRG Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected Virginia Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 61.60% | -4.12 | 57.48 | 61.60 | 59.92 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 70.77% | -7.71 | 58.63 | 66.34 | 60.96 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 70.82% | -7.86 | 62.81 | 70.67 | 62.30 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 74.07% | -9.19 | 60.70 | 69.89 | 62.72 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 76.24% | -10.19 | 58.13 | 68.32 | 61.75 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 75.46% | -10.17 | 65.22 | 75.39 | 64.97 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 71.96% | -8.72 | 66.62 | 75.34 | 66.27 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 77.90% | -10.85 | 56.23 | 67.08 | 60.69 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 79.33% | -11.48 | 54.55 | 66.03 | 60.30 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 76.59% | -10.28 | 56.87 | 67.14 | 60.60 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 74.60% | -9.50 | 60.17 | 69.66 | 59.00 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 86.19% | -16.24 | 64.13 | 80.37 | 67.67 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 93.77% | -21.89 | 49.68 | 71.57 | 62.73 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 88.46% | -17.27 | 55.45 | 72.72 | 61.60 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 95.18% | -24.11 | 53.45 | 77.56 | 63.07 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 44.59% | 2.00 | 70.78 | 68.77 | 63.73 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 55.27% | -1.92 | 66.34 | 68.26 | 62.48 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 65.31% | -5.57 | 59.12 | 64.68 | 61.33 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 67.58% | -6.70 | 65.17 | 71.87 | 63.96 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 70.11% | -7.75 | 64.04 | 71.80 | 65.09 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 72.64% | -8.64 | 60.08 | 68.72 | 62.03 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 73.09% | -9.03 | 65.00 | 74.03 | 64.45 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 77.13% | -10.93 | 61.72 | 72.65 | 63.52 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 80.98% | -12.54 | 57.56 | 70.10 | 63.48 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 76.67% | -10.61 | 61.93 | 72.54 | 63.43 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 78.31% | -11.30 | 60.47 | 71.77 | 63.18 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 86.08% | -15.40 | 57.60 | 73.00 | 61.39 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 91.80% | -21.22 | 63.54 | 84.75 | 69.91 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 93.35% | -21.93 | 55.48 | 77.41 | 65.86 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 93.90% | -22.10 | 52.97 | 75.06 | 63.93 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 98.35% | -31.11 | 54.10 | 85.21 | 66.41 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 92.90% | -20.12 | 47.34 | 67.47 | 57.62 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 81.49% | -13.39 | 63.87 | 77.26 | 65.95 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 62.85% | -4.85 | 67.57 | 72.43 | 64.21 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 54.31% | -1.58 | 67.58 | 69.16 | 63.98 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 51.28% | -0.46 | 64.75 | 65.21 | 62.29 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 77.46% | -11.27 | 64.52 | 75.79 | 66.98 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 71.63% | -8.19 | 57.82 | 66.01 | 61.29 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 72.84% | -8.84 | 64.32 | 73.15 | 63.17 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 76.45% | -10.26 | 60.00 | 70.27 | 63.19 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 76.51% | -10.52 | 63.22 | 73.74 | 64.51 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 84.69% | -14.96 | 62.98 | 77.95 | 65.94 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 80.97% | -13.45 | 68.07 | 81.53 | 69.93 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 79.19% | -12.06 | 64.81 | 76.87 | 66.00 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 80.94% | -12.57 | 56.75 | 69.32 | 64.13 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 88.57% | -16.95 | 54.59 | 71.53 | 60.07 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 86.71% | -16.35 | 60.73 | 77.07 | 66.51 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 92.79% | -21.65 | 60.70 | 82.35 | 65.50 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 87.67% | -16.69 | 55.42 | 72.11 | 64.32 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 78.82% | -11.00 | 51.30 | 62.29 | 58.60 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 68.21% | -7.03 | 67.18 | 74.22 | 65.99 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 70.71% | -8.14 | 66.32 | 74.46 | 65.89 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 60.62% | -3.79 | 59.22 | 63.02 | 60.18 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 65.08% | -5.64 | 64.24 | 69.89 | 63.86 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 70.99% | -7.94 | 60.05 | 68.00 | 62.15 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 67.12% | -6.38 | 61.53 | 67.91 | 62.97 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 82.11% | -13.29 | 58.84 | 72.13 | 64.28 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 74.29% | -9.29 | 57.62 | 66.91 | 60.72 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 73.48% | -9.26 | 63.69 | 72.95 | 65.99 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 84.70% | -14.58 | 57.00 | 71.58 | 62.95 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 83.27% | -13.98 | 58.20 | 72.18 | 64.04 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 84.41% | -15.04 | 62.15 | 77.19 | 65.21 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 87.01% | -15.77 | 50.47 | 66.25 | 59.95 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 90.41% | -18.41 | 53.60 | 72.01 | 63.29 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 96.41% | -27.12 | 58.03 | 85.15 | 70.53 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 98.84% | -31.76 | 46.57 | 78.33 | 60.98 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 96.96% | -27.62 | 58.20 | 85.82 | 66.19 |