The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against San Diego St.. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | SDSU Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected San Diego St. Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 16.73% | 13.98 | 72.18 | 58.20 | 64.04 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 24.47% | 10.34 | 76.33 | 65.99 | 69.75 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 34.87% | 5.87 | 77.45 | 71.58 | 70.88 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 34.28% | 6.21 | 82.66 | 76.45 | 72.32 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 37.33% | 4.92 | 80.44 | 75.52 | 72.78 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 41.63% | 3.23 | 76.89 | 73.66 | 71.73 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 40.92% | 3.62 | 84.82 | 81.20 | 75.18 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 37.14% | 5.25 | 86.44 | 81.18 | 76.57 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 42.45% | 2.87 | 74.57 | 71.69 | 70.59 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 46.71% | 1.24 | 72.53 | 71.29 | 70.17 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 42.33% | 2.94 | 75.31 | 72.37 | 70.49 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 41.74% | 3.21 | 78.52 | 75.31 | 68.76 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 56.62% | -2.66 | 84.15 | 86.81 | 78.07 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 72.96% | -9.36 | 66.95 | 76.31 | 72.79 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 61.50% | -4.51 | 73.41 | 77.92 | 71.57 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 79.29% | -12.70 | 70.69 | 83.40 | 73.15 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 13.93% | 17.04 | 91.21 | 74.17 | 73.86 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 21.39% | 12.32 | 86.15 | 73.84 | 72.51 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 27.30% | 9.14 | 78.18 | 69.05 | 71.28 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 30.29% | 8.10 | 85.13 | 77.03 | 74.10 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 29.67% | 8.37 | 84.13 | 75.75 | 75.32 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 37.85% | 4.76 | 78.84 | 74.08 | 72.04 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 35.05% | 6.00 | 84.95 | 78.95 | 74.63 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 41.71% | 3.29 | 80.83 | 77.54 | 73.63 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 48.62% | 0.53 | 76.13 | 75.60 | 73.59 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 39.75% | 4.05 | 81.58 | 77.53 | 73.53 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 43.26% | 2.62 | 79.40 | 76.78 | 73.27 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 58.81% | -3.39 | 76.06 | 79.46 | 71.34 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 69.68% | -8.39 | 83.04 | 91.44 | 80.44 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 68.33% | -7.44 | 74.12 | 81.56 | 76.14 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 74.31% | -10.00 | 71.21 | 81.22 | 74.07 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 91.07% | -21.08 | 72.03 | 93.10 | 76.72 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 73.11% | -9.09 | 63.90 | 72.99 | 67.26 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 50.08% | -0.03 | 83.44 | 83.47 | 76.24 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 25.82% | 10.25 | 87.82 | 77.57 | 74.37 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 19.02% | 13.66 | 88.24 | 74.58 | 74.12 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 18.61% | 13.72 | 84.91 | 71.18 | 72.31 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 40.80% | 3.71 | 84.16 | 80.45 | 77.33 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 36.25% | 5.39 | 76.38 | 70.98 | 71.24 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 35.78% | 5.66 | 84.40 | 78.73 | 73.26 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 39.70% | 3.98 | 79.32 | 75.34 | 73.28 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 40.56% | 3.72 | 83.16 | 79.44 | 74.70 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 52.40% | -0.94 | 82.95 | 83.90 | 76.22 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 46.60% | 1.40 | 88.59 | 87.19 | 80.46 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 44.63% | 2.14 | 84.23 | 82.09 | 76.29 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 47.54% | 0.95 | 75.71 | 74.76 | 74.28 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 63.85% | -5.36 | 72.45 | 77.80 | 69.92 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 60.78% | -4.30 | 79.78 | 84.08 | 76.84 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 72.23% | -9.36 | 79.72 | 89.08 | 75.76 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 63.45% | -5.31 | 73.22 | 78.54 | 74.49 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 44.80% | 1.93 | 68.88 | 66.95 | 68.32 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 30.94% | 7.88 | 87.45 | 79.57 | 76.28 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 31.43% | 7.71 | 87.21 | 79.50 | 76.17 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 26.51% | 9.47 | 77.54 | 68.07 | 70.04 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 28.70% | 8.76 | 84.16 | 75.41 | 74.00 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 33.74% | 6.44 | 79.34 | 72.89 | 72.16 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 30.41% | 7.89 | 80.93 | 73.03 | 73.05 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 50.12% | -0.05 | 78.20 | 78.25 | 74.45 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 42.25% | 2.98 | 75.80 | 72.82 | 70.62 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 35.95% | 5.67 | 83.60 | 77.93 | 76.28 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 54.55% | -1.75 | 75.52 | 77.26 | 73.03 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 56.20% | -2.48 | 81.10 | 83.58 | 75.44 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 59.04% | -3.44 | 67.74 | 71.17 | 69.78 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 63.73% | -5.31 | 72.22 | 77.53 | 73.39 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 80.81% | -14.03 | 76.92 | 90.95 | 81.09 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 92.14% | -21.29 | 63.88 | 85.17 | 70.90 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 85.42% | -16.65 | 76.79 | 93.44 | 76.49 |