The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against South Dakota St.. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | SDST Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected South Dakota St. Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 15.59% | 15.04 | 77.19 | 62.15 | 65.21 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 21.20% | 12.28 | 82.13 | 69.85 | 70.97 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 28.80% | 8.66 | 83.39 | 74.73 | 72.11 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 28.32% | 9.01 | 89.39 | 80.38 | 73.56 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 28.81% | 8.73 | 86.94 | 78.21 | 74.02 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 35.25% | 5.93 | 83.04 | 77.11 | 72.96 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 34.55% | 6.42 | 90.51 | 84.09 | 76.44 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 30.80% | 8.23 | 92.75 | 84.52 | 77.84 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 36.35% | 5.41 | 80.68 | 75.27 | 71.82 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 40.93% | 3.54 | 78.21 | 74.67 | 71.39 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 35.01% | 5.99 | 81.83 | 75.84 | 71.71 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 38.20% | 4.73 | 84.08 | 79.35 | 69.97 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 49.25% | 0.31 | 90.55 | 90.24 | 79.34 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 70.62% | -8.53 | 72.59 | 81.12 | 74.03 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 58.41% | -3.37 | 79.28 | 82.65 | 72.80 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 75.10% | -10.83 | 76.52 | 87.34 | 74.39 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 9.95% | 20.67 | 97.49 | 76.82 | 75.11 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 17.00% | 15.18 | 92.43 | 77.25 | 73.75 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 23.45% | 11.25 | 84.37 | 73.12 | 72.51 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 27.80% | 9.49 | 91.49 | 82.01 | 75.35 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 29.94% | 8.48 | 90.11 | 81.63 | 76.58 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 34.82% | 6.16 | 84.19 | 78.03 | 73.27 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 32.28% | 7.38 | 90.97 | 83.59 | 75.88 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 36.10% | 5.73 | 87.45 | 81.72 | 74.88 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 40.41% | 3.81 | 82.78 | 78.97 | 74.84 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 36.57% | 5.49 | 87.69 | 82.21 | 74.78 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 38.47% | 4.64 | 85.13 | 80.49 | 74.51 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 50.86% | -0.34 | 81.90 | 82.24 | 72.57 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 62.95% | -5.52 | 89.65 | 95.17 | 81.73 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 65.62% | -6.45 | 80.92 | 87.36 | 77.40 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 68.27% | -7.48 | 78.27 | 85.75 | 75.32 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 85.66% | -17.12 | 78.33 | 95.45 | 77.99 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 67.99% | -7.09 | 69.45 | 76.54 | 68.46 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 44.02% | 2.46 | 89.87 | 87.41 | 77.50 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 20.93% | 13.10 | 94.39 | 81.29 | 75.62 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 13.95% | 17.29 | 95.11 | 77.82 | 75.38 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 14.30% | 16.84 | 91.97 | 75.13 | 73.55 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 38.62% | 4.74 | 90.12 | 85.39 | 78.60 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 32.68% | 7.07 | 82.46 | 75.39 | 72.47 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 30.88% | 7.95 | 91.14 | 83.19 | 74.51 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 34.96% | 6.03 | 85.02 | 78.98 | 74.52 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 33.28% | 6.90 | 89.63 | 82.73 | 75.95 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 43.30% | 2.70 | 89.40 | 86.69 | 77.48 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 41.48% | 3.61 | 95.29 | 91.67 | 81.75 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 40.26% | 4.00 | 90.19 | 86.19 | 77.55 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 39.51% | 4.20 | 81.95 | 77.75 | 75.54 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 58.12% | -3.18 | 77.94 | 81.12 | 71.14 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 51.66% | -0.67 | 86.16 | 86.83 | 78.10 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 66.19% | -6.80 | 85.84 | 92.64 | 77.02 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 53.87% | -1.54 | 79.21 | 80.75 | 75.74 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 39.10% | 4.19 | 74.66 | 70.47 | 69.53 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 25.26% | 10.82 | 93.98 | 83.16 | 77.54 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 29.61% | 8.77 | 93.82 | 85.04 | 77.44 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 22.72% | 11.57 | 83.02 | 71.45 | 71.26 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 24.30% | 11.13 | 90.67 | 79.54 | 75.25 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 30.12% | 8.21 | 85.60 | 77.39 | 73.39 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 26.24% | 10.05 | 87.19 | 77.14 | 74.29 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 42.07% | 3.18 | 84.71 | 81.53 | 75.70 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 34.48% | 6.26 | 82.36 | 76.10 | 71.84 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 31.80% | 7.66 | 90.26 | 82.60 | 77.54 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 46.93% | 1.20 | 81.40 | 80.19 | 74.27 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 43.80% | 2.48 | 83.58 | 81.10 | 75.44 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 52.60% | -1.01 | 73.82 | 74.83 | 71.00 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 58.47% | -3.32 | 78.27 | 81.59 | 74.64 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 75.03% | -11.16 | 83.72 | 94.88 | 82.39 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 88.84% | -18.85 | 70.03 | 88.89 | 72.13 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 81.25% | -14.37 | 82.59 | 96.96 | 77.75 |