The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Providence. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | PROV Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected Providence Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 15.30% | 14.58 | 71.58 | 57.00 | 62.95 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 21.32% | 11.71 | 76.22 | 64.52 | 68.62 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 31.75% | 7.05 | 76.94 | 69.89 | 69.74 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 29.17% | 8.27 | 82.69 | 74.42 | 71.18 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 32.32% | 6.88 | 80.56 | 73.68 | 71.63 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 38.03% | 4.58 | 76.44 | 71.86 | 70.59 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 37.78% | 4.83 | 84.10 | 79.28 | 74.02 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 33.77% | 6.60 | 85.80 | 79.20 | 75.40 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 38.76% | 4.24 | 74.43 | 70.19 | 69.46 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 42.05% | 2.97 | 72.51 | 69.54 | 69.03 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 39.12% | 4.12 | 74.76 | 70.64 | 69.35 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 39.46% | 4.04 | 77.44 | 73.40 | 67.63 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 52.06% | -0.81 | 83.74 | 84.55 | 76.88 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 69.44% | -7.65 | 66.92 | 74.57 | 71.64 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 58.69% | -3.33 | 72.59 | 75.92 | 70.43 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 77.77% | -11.69 | 69.67 | 81.36 | 71.99 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 12.57% | 17.74 | 90.21 | 72.46 | 72.70 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 19.50% | 13.12 | 85.04 | 71.92 | 71.36 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 24.37% | 10.34 | 77.94 | 67.60 | 70.14 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 26.75% | 9.58 | 84.69 | 75.11 | 72.94 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 26.22% | 9.82 | 83.94 | 74.12 | 74.15 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 34.53% | 6.02 | 78.20 | 72.18 | 70.89 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 31.66% | 7.34 | 84.44 | 77.10 | 73.47 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 39.17% | 4.25 | 80.03 | 75.79 | 72.47 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 43.46% | 2.48 | 76.21 | 73.73 | 72.43 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 35.74% | 5.60 | 81.34 | 75.73 | 72.38 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 40.54% | 3.63 | 78.72 | 75.09 | 72.11 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 54.47% | -1.68 | 75.67 | 77.36 | 70.20 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 65.56% | -6.42 | 82.51 | 88.94 | 79.24 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 64.97% | -5.90 | 73.92 | 79.82 | 74.97 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 69.18% | -7.56 | 71.37 | 78.93 | 72.91 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 88.75% | -18.72 | 71.78 | 90.50 | 75.55 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 70.16% | -7.68 | 63.49 | 71.17 | 66.15 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 46.18% | 1.51 | 82.67 | 81.16 | 75.06 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 23.50% | 11.22 | 86.97 | 75.75 | 73.21 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 15.92% | 15.29 | 87.94 | 72.65 | 72.96 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 15.43% | 15.40 | 84.42 | 69.02 | 71.16 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 37.26% | 5.10 | 83.76 | 78.66 | 76.15 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 32.74% | 6.74 | 75.91 | 69.17 | 70.09 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 31.83% | 7.22 | 83.95 | 76.73 | 72.11 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 35.79% | 5.46 | 79.14 | 73.68 | 72.12 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 36.27% | 5.38 | 82.90 | 77.51 | 73.53 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 48.23% | 0.68 | 82.65 | 81.97 | 75.05 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 41.93% | 3.28 | 88.24 | 84.96 | 79.26 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 40.75% | 3.65 | 83.83 | 80.19 | 75.11 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 42.96% | 2.69 | 75.74 | 73.06 | 73.12 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 59.79% | -3.68 | 72.03 | 75.71 | 68.78 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 55.50% | -2.14 | 79.53 | 81.67 | 75.66 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 69.45% | -7.94 | 78.78 | 86.72 | 74.59 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 59.63% | -3.71 | 72.87 | 76.58 | 73.33 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 40.11% | 3.63 | 69.04 | 65.40 | 67.21 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 27.27% | 9.43 | 87.18 | 77.75 | 75.10 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 27.02% | 9.61 | 87.04 | 77.43 | 75.00 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 23.81% | 10.57 | 77.06 | 66.49 | 68.91 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 24.60% | 10.53 | 83.99 | 73.46 | 72.84 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 29.54% | 8.13 | 79.27 | 71.14 | 71.01 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 27.36% | 9.12 | 80.39 | 71.27 | 71.89 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 43.94% | 2.32 | 78.42 | 76.10 | 73.28 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 39.31% | 4.07 | 74.88 | 70.81 | 69.48 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 31.66% | 7.40 | 83.42 | 76.02 | 75.10 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 45.45% | 1.75 | 77.26 | 75.52 | 73.03 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 53.07% | -1.20 | 80.19 | 81.40 | 74.27 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 56.15% | -2.29 | 67.32 | 69.61 | 68.65 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 57.72% | -2.90 | 72.70 | 75.61 | 72.24 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 77.30% | -11.87 | 77.01 | 88.88 | 79.89 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 89.39% | -18.50 | 64.28 | 82.78 | 69.77 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 82.24% | -14.36 | 76.34 | 90.71 | 75.31 |