The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against New Mexico St.. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | NMST Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected New Mexico St. Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 19.06% | 12.57 | 69.32 | 56.75 | 64.13 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 27.23% | 8.98 | 73.49 | 64.50 | 69.85 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 38.10% | 4.53 | 74.50 | 69.97 | 70.97 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 35.30% | 5.74 | 80.54 | 74.80 | 72.42 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 39.18% | 4.15 | 78.11 | 73.96 | 72.87 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 45.45% | 1.73 | 73.93 | 72.20 | 71.82 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 45.63% | 1.72 | 81.48 | 79.77 | 75.28 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 40.25% | 3.92 | 83.44 | 79.52 | 76.67 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 44.57% | 2.04 | 72.31 | 70.27 | 70.68 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 49.65% | 0.13 | 70.01 | 69.88 | 70.26 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 44.73% | 1.99 | 72.94 | 70.94 | 70.58 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 46.21% | 1.45 | 75.31 | 73.86 | 68.85 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 60.66% | -4.28 | 80.78 | 85.05 | 78.16 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 75.11% | -10.29 | 64.55 | 74.84 | 72.88 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 65.85% | -6.24 | 70.23 | 76.47 | 71.66 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 83.31% | -14.90 | 67.29 | 82.19 | 73.24 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 16.78% | 15.00 | 87.64 | 72.63 | 73.95 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 24.91% | 10.42 | 82.72 | 72.30 | 72.61 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 29.49% | 8.09 | 75.47 | 67.38 | 71.38 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 32.79% | 6.94 | 82.12 | 75.19 | 74.20 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 32.78% | 6.94 | 80.98 | 74.04 | 75.42 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 42.39% | 2.93 | 75.51 | 72.59 | 72.13 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 38.68% | 4.46 | 81.83 | 77.36 | 74.73 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 45.52% | 1.75 | 77.90 | 76.14 | 73.72 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 49.50% | 0.19 | 74.08 | 73.89 | 73.69 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 42.40% | 2.97 | 78.90 | 75.93 | 73.63 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 47.17% | 1.09 | 76.31 | 75.23 | 73.36 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 62.41% | -4.78 | 73.22 | 78.00 | 71.44 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 72.73% | -9.77 | 80.19 | 89.96 | 80.54 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 70.41% | -8.30 | 71.63 | 79.93 | 76.24 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 74.08% | -9.83 | 69.62 | 79.45 | 74.17 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 92.32% | -22.18 | 69.44 | 91.61 | 76.82 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 76.21% | -10.44 | 61.30 | 71.73 | 67.35 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 54.07% | -1.62 | 80.17 | 81.79 | 76.34 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 30.15% | 8.14 | 84.36 | 76.22 | 74.47 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 21.54% | 12.16 | 85.30 | 73.14 | 74.22 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 19.85% | 12.90 | 82.08 | 69.18 | 72.41 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 44.26% | 2.28 | 81.05 | 78.76 | 77.43 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 38.82% | 4.32 | 73.73 | 69.41 | 71.33 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 39.17% | 4.24 | 81.44 | 77.20 | 73.36 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 42.94% | 2.69 | 76.37 | 73.67 | 73.37 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 43.99% | 2.34 | 80.25 | 77.92 | 74.79 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 56.90% | -2.70 | 79.80 | 82.49 | 76.32 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 50.14% | -0.06 | 85.60 | 85.66 | 80.56 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 48.01% | 0.78 | 81.41 | 80.62 | 76.38 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 66.77% | -6.50 | 69.84 | 76.34 | 70.01 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 62.52% | -4.98 | 77.28 | 82.25 | 76.93 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 76.82% | -11.54 | 76.36 | 87.90 | 75.86 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 65.39% | -6.06 | 70.57 | 76.63 | 74.59 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 46.25% | 1.37 | 66.83 | 65.46 | 68.42 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 32.80% | 7.00 | 84.92 | 77.92 | 76.37 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 35.14% | 6.03 | 83.97 | 77.94 | 76.27 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 29.16% | 8.20 | 74.58 | 66.37 | 70.13 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 30.67% | 7.80 | 81.35 | 73.55 | 74.09 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 35.55% | 5.65 | 76.88 | 71.23 | 72.25 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 33.04% | 6.70 | 77.80 | 71.10 | 73.14 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 52.05% | -0.79 | 75.74 | 76.53 | 74.54 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 45.43% | 1.74 | 72.85 | 71.11 | 70.71 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 38.93% | 4.40 | 80.75 | 76.35 | 76.38 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 57.04% | -2.69 | 73.06 | 75.74 | 73.12 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 52.46% | -0.95 | 74.76 | 75.71 | 74.28 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 60.49% | -4.20 | 77.75 | 81.95 | 75.54 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 62.04% | -4.57 | 64.86 | 69.43 | 69.88 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 64.27% | -5.49 | 70.26 | 75.76 | 73.49 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 81.65% | -14.42 | 74.73 | 89.15 | 81.19 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 92.78% | -21.83 | 61.98 | 83.81 | 71.00 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 87.83% | -18.27 | 73.91 | 92.19 | 76.58 |