The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against North Carolina. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | NC Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected North Carolina Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 29.29% | 8.14 | 74.46 | 66.32 | 65.89 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 41.40% | 3.35 | 78.52 | 75.17 | 71.69 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 52.60% | -1.01 | 80.05 | 81.07 | 72.83 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 53.21% | -1.27 | 84.90 | 86.17 | 74.29 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 60.11% | -4.01 | 81.58 | 85.59 | 74.75 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 59.13% | -3.63 | 79.67 | 83.30 | 73.69 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 58.30% | -3.40 | 88.22 | 91.62 | 77.18 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 50.87% | -0.36 | 90.79 | 91.15 | 78.58 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 60.87% | -4.29 | 77.13 | 81.43 | 72.54 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 64.23% | -5.66 | 75.01 | 80.67 | 72.11 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 59.55% | -3.78 | 78.07 | 81.85 | 72.43 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 53.64% | -1.45 | 83.36 | 84.81 | 70.68 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 72.65% | -9.88 | 87.48 | 97.35 | 80.09 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 86.58% | -17.42 | 68.81 | 86.23 | 74.76 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 77.42% | -11.97 | 76.74 | 88.71 | 73.53 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 88.64% | -19.36 | 74.60 | 93.97 | 75.12 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 21.71% | 12.67 | 96.33 | 83.66 | 75.84 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 33.79% | 6.69 | 90.12 | 83.43 | 74.48 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 44.12% | 2.31 | 80.58 | 78.27 | 73.23 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 45.91% | 1.66 | 88.45 | 86.79 | 76.09 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 47.48% | 1.02 | 86.89 | 85.87 | 77.32 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 54.57% | -1.82 | 82.00 | 83.81 | 74.00 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 55.69% | -2.30 | 87.20 | 89.51 | 76.62 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 58.14% | -3.32 | 84.58 | 87.90 | 75.61 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 67.43% | -7.11 | 78.48 | 85.59 | 75.57 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 57.14% | -2.89 | 84.42 | 87.31 | 75.51 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 62.22% | -4.94 | 81.92 | 86.87 | 75.24 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 74.31% | -10.25 | 79.12 | 89.37 | 73.30 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 82.66% | -15.76 | 87.00 | 102.76 | 82.48 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 84.03% | -15.98 | 76.19 | 92.17 | 78.14 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 88.55% | -18.91 | 72.48 | 91.40 | 76.06 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 96.45% | -29.06 | 74.92 | 103.98 | 78.74 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 85.48% | -16.07 | 66.45 | 82.52 | 69.16 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 66.68% | -7.08 | 87.12 | 94.20 | 78.24 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 40.24% | 4.02 | 91.96 | 87.94 | 76.36 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 33.64% | 6.77 | 91.48 | 84.71 | 76.11 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 30.72% | 7.98 | 88.44 | 80.46 | 74.28 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 57.70% | -3.19 | 87.70 | 90.90 | 79.35 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 52.64% | -1.05 | 79.46 | 80.51 | 73.19 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 53.10% | -1.24 | 87.32 | 88.57 | 75.24 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 58.59% | -3.40 | 81.26 | 84.66 | 75.25 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 59.82% | -3.98 | 85.58 | 89.56 | 76.69 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 70.76% | -8.79 | 85.45 | 94.24 | 78.22 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 64.55% | -6.28 | 92.12 | 98.40 | 82.50 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 62.77% | -5.31 | 87.53 | 92.84 | 78.29 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 64.86% | -6.03 | 77.94 | 83.97 | 76.27 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 79.06% | -12.57 | 74.99 | 87.57 | 71.85 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 76.17% | -11.50 | 82.82 | 94.32 | 78.85 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 84.54% | -16.61 | 83.45 | 100.06 | 77.76 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 75.74% | -11.10 | 76.54 | 87.64 | 76.48 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 65.34% | -5.99 | 70.47 | 76.46 | 70.24 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 48.05% | 0.80 | 90.32 | 89.52 | 78.28 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 38.43% | 4.57 | 81.13 | 76.56 | 71.98 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 43.13% | 2.78 | 87.59 | 84.81 | 75.98 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 51.48% | -0.59 | 81.80 | 82.39 | 74.12 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 46.20% | 1.51 | 83.98 | 82.46 | 75.02 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 69.60% | -8.16 | 80.14 | 88.30 | 76.43 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 55.41% | -2.14 | 80.07 | 82.21 | 72.56 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 54.41% | -1.80 | 86.52 | 88.32 | 78.29 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 72.98% | -9.61 | 77.43 | 87.04 | 75.00 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 68.57% | -7.71 | 79.50 | 87.21 | 76.17 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 70.39% | -8.77 | 85.04 | 93.82 | 77.44 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 71.48% | -8.80 | 71.42 | 80.23 | 71.72 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 82.65% | -14.60 | 72.69 | 87.28 | 75.37 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 90.96% | -22.15 | 79.53 | 101.67 | 83.14 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 97.78% | -31.06 | 64.83 | 95.89 | 72.85 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 94.32% | -25.66 | 79.18 | 104.84 | 78.49 |