The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Gonzaga. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | GONZ Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected Gonzaga Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 34.92% | 5.64 | 69.89 | 64.24 | 63.86 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 47.10% | 1.10 | 73.96 | 72.86 | 69.57 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 58.11% | -3.11 | 75.16 | 78.27 | 70.69 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 56.75% | -2.62 | 81.03 | 83.65 | 72.14 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 61.12% | -4.32 | 77.84 | 82.16 | 72.59 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 64.68% | -5.78 | 74.91 | 80.69 | 71.54 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 63.23% | -5.35 | 82.77 | 88.12 | 74.99 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 56.91% | -2.80 | 85.60 | 88.40 | 76.38 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 62.67% | -4.91 | 73.22 | 78.13 | 70.41 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 68.45% | -7.27 | 70.91 | 78.19 | 69.98 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 63.56% | -5.28 | 73.90 | 79.19 | 70.30 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 60.49% | -4.11 | 77.79 | 81.90 | 68.57 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 77.68% | -12.18 | 82.14 | 94.32 | 77.87 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 88.36% | -18.34 | 65.06 | 83.40 | 72.60 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 80.79% | -13.48 | 71.62 | 85.10 | 71.38 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 91.37% | -21.31 | 69.12 | 90.43 | 72.96 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 28.49% | 8.98 | 90.06 | 81.08 | 73.67 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 42.16% | 3.09 | 84.24 | 81.16 | 72.33 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 48.99% | 0.39 | 76.08 | 75.70 | 71.09 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 52.43% | -0.96 | 83.31 | 84.27 | 73.91 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 53.46% | -1.37 | 81.83 | 83.19 | 75.13 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 62.16% | -4.78 | 76.70 | 81.48 | 71.85 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 59.76% | -3.88 | 82.26 | 86.14 | 74.44 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 62.42% | -4.99 | 79.53 | 84.53 | 73.44 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 69.38% | -7.79 | 74.81 | 82.60 | 73.40 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 61.69% | -4.66 | 79.96 | 84.61 | 73.35 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 66.33% | -6.53 | 76.92 | 83.45 | 73.08 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 78.03% | -11.83 | 74.38 | 86.21 | 71.16 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 85.92% | -17.62 | 82.15 | 99.76 | 80.24 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 85.49% | -16.57 | 72.16 | 88.73 | 75.95 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 89.32% | -19.13 | 69.71 | 88.84 | 73.88 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 97.00% | -29.55 | 70.68 | 100.23 | 76.53 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 87.86% | -17.31 | 62.19 | 79.50 | 67.08 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 72.08% | -9.38 | 81.67 | 91.06 | 76.05 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 46.74% | 1.30 | 86.11 | 84.81 | 74.18 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 39.28% | 4.26 | 86.35 | 82.09 | 73.93 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 38.41% | 4.56 | 83.31 | 78.76 | 72.12 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 63.19% | -5.40 | 82.49 | 87.89 | 77.14 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 58.61% | -3.36 | 74.90 | 78.26 | 71.05 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 59.59% | -3.79 | 82.33 | 86.11 | 73.07 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 63.79% | -5.40 | 76.74 | 82.14 | 73.09 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 64.18% | -5.68 | 80.85 | 86.53 | 74.51 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 74.49% | -10.33 | 80.50 | 90.84 | 76.03 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 69.37% | -8.33 | 87.12 | 95.45 | 80.26 |
| 42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 66.26% | -6.67 | 82.71 | 89.38 | 76.09 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 69.33% | -7.80 | 73.55 | 81.35 | 74.09 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 81.97% | -13.87 | 70.70 | 84.57 | 69.73 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 79.91% | -13.23 | 78.53 | 91.76 | 76.64 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 87.91% | -18.65 | 78.00 | 96.65 | 75.57 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 79.96% | -13.03 | 72.14 | 85.17 | 74.30 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 66.63% | -6.37 | 67.01 | 73.38 | 68.14 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 51.81% | -0.72 | 85.82 | 86.54 | 76.08 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 56.87% | -2.78 | 84.81 | 87.59 | 75.98 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 46.34% | 1.39 | 76.16 | 74.77 | 69.85 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 55.98% | -2.32 | 77.63 | 79.95 | 71.97 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 53.03% | -1.18 | 78.80 | 79.98 | 72.86 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 72.67% | -9.37 | 76.22 | 85.60 | 74.26 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 62.88% | -5.04 | 74.73 | 79.78 | 70.43 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 59.98% | -4.01 | 81.77 | 85.77 | 76.09 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 75.40% | -10.53 | 73.46 | 83.99 | 72.84 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 71.30% | -8.76 | 75.41 | 84.16 | 74.00 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 75.70% | -11.13 | 79.54 | 90.67 | 75.25 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 76.06% | -10.70 | 66.64 | 77.34 | 69.60 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 83.52% | -14.81 | 69.80 | 84.62 | 73.20 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 91.64% | -22.34 | 75.82 | 98.16 | 80.90 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 97.65% | -30.00 | 61.99 | 91.99 | 70.72 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 95.41% | -26.69 | 74.61 | 101.30 | 76.29 |