The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Duke. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | DUKE Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected Duke Score | Expected Pace |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 45.69% | 1.58 | 69.16 | 67.58 | 63.98 |
6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 56.90% | -2.62 | 73.90 | 76.52 | 69.69 |
22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 68.61% | -7.36 | 74.71 | 82.07 | 70.82 |
16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 67.43% | -6.96 | 80.51 | 87.48 | 72.26 |
26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 71.84% | -8.85 | 77.97 | 86.83 | 72.72 |
37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 74.64% | -10.19 | 74.29 | 84.48 | 71.67 |
35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 75.29% | -10.83 | 81.74 | 92.57 | 75.12 |
19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 71.00% | -8.90 | 83.69 | 92.59 | 76.51 |
38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 74.63% | -10.07 | 72.01 | 82.08 | 70.53 |
49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 78.33% | -11.86 | 70.06 | 81.92 | 70.10 |
39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 75.11% | -10.34 | 72.59 | 82.93 | 70.42 |
31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 73.87% | -9.87 | 75.74 | 85.61 | 68.70 |
77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 85.42% | -16.86 | 81.34 | 98.20 | 78.00 |
151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 93.51% | -23.24 | 63.73 | 86.97 | 72.73 |
104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 88.70% | -18.76 | 70.43 | 89.19 | 71.51 |
198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 95.54% | -26.51 | 67.77 | 94.28 | 73.09 |
1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 40.10% | 3.97 | 89.02 | 85.06 | 73.79 |
5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 53.59% | -1.41 | 83.52 | 84.92 | 72.45 |
10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 59.31% | -3.59 | 75.71 | 79.30 | 71.22 |
12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 63.35% | -5.38 | 82.73 | 88.12 | 74.04 |
11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 62.73% | -5.12 | 81.36 | 86.48 | 75.26 |
25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 72.35% | -9.16 | 75.80 | 84.96 | 71.97 |
24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 70.04% | -8.27 | 82.00 | 90.27 | 74.57 |
40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 74.83% | -10.56 | 78.26 | 88.82 | 73.57 |
50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 79.71% | -12.80 | 74.00 | 86.80 | 73.53 |
27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 72.72% | -9.46 | 78.63 | 88.09 | 73.47 |
48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 76.67% | -11.29 | 76.20 | 87.49 | 73.20 |
81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 86.24% | -16.69 | 73.42 | 90.11 | 71.28 |
119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 92.84% | -23.92 | 79.86 | 103.77 | 80.37 |
133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 90.82% | -20.82 | 71.21 | 92.03 | 76.07 |
158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 94.00% | -23.90 | 68.48 | 92.38 | 74.01 |
292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 98.78% | -35.30 | 69.09 | 104.38 | 76.66 |
153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 93.13% | -21.98 | 61.07 | 83.04 | 67.20 |
57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 82.50% | -14.99 | 80.64 | 95.63 | 76.17 |
9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 58.86% | -3.56 | 85.52 | 89.08 | 74.31 |
2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 48.67% | 0.52 | 83.02 | 82.50 | 72.25 |
28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 74.28% | -10.44 | 81.28 | 91.72 | 77.27 |
21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 70.71% | -8.40 | 73.61 | 82.02 | 71.17 |
20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 68.37% | -7.46 | 82.16 | 89.63 | 73.20 |
30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 71.99% | -8.91 | 76.27 | 85.18 | 73.21 |
32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 73.96% | -10.04 | 80.59 | 90.64 | 74.64 |
64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 82.17% | -14.47 | 80.24 | 94.70 | 76.15 |
46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 80.38% | -14.06 | 85.74 | 99.80 | 80.39 |
42 | Arizona State | Pac12 | 11 | Midwest | 77.65% | -12.10 | 81.48 | 93.57 | 76.22 |
52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 78.46% | -12.16 | 73.14 | 85.30 | 74.22 |
105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 89.48% | -18.98 | 69.30 | 88.29 | 69.85 |
85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 88.31% | -18.78 | 76.90 | 95.69 | 76.77 |
150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 93.50% | -24.10 | 76.37 | 100.46 | 75.70 |
96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 88.36% | -18.49 | 70.49 | 88.98 | 74.43 |
44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 77.62% | -11.26 | 66.34 | 77.60 | 68.26 |
13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 64.98% | -6.13 | 84.82 | 90.95 | 76.21 |
15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 66.36% | -6.77 | 84.71 | 91.48 | 76.11 |
7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 57.29% | -2.79 | 75.14 | 77.93 | 69.98 |
8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 60.72% | -4.26 | 82.09 | 86.35 | 73.93 |
17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 67.06% | -6.82 | 76.86 | 83.68 | 72.09 |
14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 63.46% | -5.33 | 78.36 | 83.69 | 72.98 |
54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 81.69% | -14.05 | 75.84 | 89.89 | 74.38 |
33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 74.48% | -10.11 | 73.59 | 83.70 | 70.55 |
18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 70.08% | -8.35 | 81.27 | 89.62 | 76.21 |
67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 84.08% | -15.29 | 72.65 | 87.94 | 72.96 |
56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 80.98% | -13.66 | 74.58 | 88.24 | 74.12 |
78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 86.05% | -17.29 | 77.82 | 95.11 | 75.38 |
84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 84.82% | -15.52 | 65.38 | 80.90 | 69.72 |
103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 89.34% | -18.89 | 69.12 | 88.01 | 73.33 |
195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 96.04% | -28.32 | 73.87 | 102.19 | 81.03 |
309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 99.02% | -35.16 | 60.94 | 96.10 | 70.84 |
235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 97.86% | -32.02 | 73.33 | 105.35 | 76.42 |