The Matchup Zone

2018 NCAA Matchup Projections

Duke Blue Devils

The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Duke. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.

Click any column header to sort by that column's data.

TAPE Rank Team Conference Seed Region DUKE Win% Expected Margin Expected Opponent Score Expected Duke Score Expected Pace
4 Virginia ACC 1 South 45.69% 1.58 69.16 67.58 63.98
6 Cincinnati AmCon 2 South 56.90% -2.62 73.90 76.52 69.69
22 Tennessee SEC 3 South 68.61% -7.36 74.71 82.07 70.82
16 Arizona Pac12 4 South 67.43% -6.96 80.51 87.48 72.26
26 Kentucky SEC 5 South 71.84% -8.85 77.97 86.83 72.72
37 Miami (FL) ACC 6 South 74.64% -10.19 74.29 84.48 71.67
35 Nevada MWC 7 South 75.29% -10.83 81.74 92.57 75.12
19 Creighton BigEast 8 South 71.00% -8.90 83.69 92.59 76.51
38 Kansas State Big12 9 South 74.63% -10.07 72.01 82.08 70.53
49 Texas Big12 10 South 78.33% -11.86 70.06 81.92 70.10
39 Loyola (IL) MVC 11 South 75.11% -10.34 72.59 82.93 70.42
31 Davidson A10 12 South 73.87% -9.87 75.74 85.61 68.70
77 Buffalo MAC 13 South 85.42% -16.86 81.34 98.20 78.00
151 Wright State Horiz 14 South 93.51% -23.24 63.73 86.97 72.73
104 Georgia State SunBelt 15 South 88.70% -18.76 70.43 89.19 71.51
198 Maryland-Baltimore Co. AmEast 16 South 95.54% -26.51 67.77 94.28 73.09
1 Villanova BigEast 1 East 40.10% 3.97 89.02 85.06 73.79
5 Purdue BigTen 2 East 53.59% -1.41 83.52 84.92 72.45
10 Texas Tech Big12 3 East 59.31% -3.59 75.71 79.30 71.22
12 Wichita State AmCon 4 East 63.35% -5.38 82.73 88.12 74.04
11 West Virginia Big12 5 East 62.73% -5.12 81.36 86.48 75.26
25 Florida SEC 6 East 72.35% -9.16 75.80 84.96 71.97
24 Arkansas SEC 7 East 70.04% -8.27 82.00 90.27 74.57
40 Virginia Tech ACC 8 East 74.83% -10.56 78.26 88.82 73.57
50 Alabama SEC 9 East 79.71% -12.80 74.00 86.80 73.53
27 Butler BigEast 10 East 72.72% -9.46 78.63 88.09 73.47
48 St. Bonaventure A10 11 East 76.67% -11.29 76.20 87.49 73.20
81 Murray State OVC 12 East 86.24% -16.69 73.42 90.11 71.28
119 Marshall CUSA 13 East 92.84% -23.92 79.86 103.77 80.37
133 Stephen F. Austin Sland 14 East 90.82% -20.82 71.21 92.03 76.07
158 Cal State Fullerton BigWest 15 East 94.00% -23.90 68.48 92.38 74.01
292 Long Island NEC 16 East 98.78% -35.30 69.09 104.38 76.66
153 Radford BigSou 16 East 93.13% -21.98 61.07 83.04 67.20
57 UCLA Pac12 11 East 82.50% -14.99 80.64 95.63 76.17
9 Kansas Big12 1 Midwest 58.86% -3.56 85.52 89.08 74.31
2 Michigan State BigTen 3 Midwest 48.67% 0.52 83.02 82.50 72.25
28 Auburn SEC 4 Midwest 74.28% -10.44 81.28 91.72 77.27
21 Clemson ACC 5 Midwest 70.71% -8.40 73.61 82.02 71.17
20 Texas Christian Big12 6 Midwest 68.37% -7.46 82.16 89.63 73.20
30 Rhode Island A10 7 Midwest 71.99% -8.91 76.27 85.18 73.21
32 Seton Hall BigEast 8 Midwest 73.96% -10.04 80.59 90.64 74.64
64 North Carolina State ACC 9 Midwest 82.17% -14.47 80.24 94.70 76.15
46 Oklahoma Big12 10 Midwest 80.38% -14.06 85.74 99.80 80.39
42 Arizona State Pac12 11 Midwest 77.65% -12.10 81.48 93.57 76.22
52 New Mexico State WAC 12 Midwest 78.46% -12.16 73.14 85.30 74.22
105 College of Charleston CAA 13 Midwest 89.48% -18.98 69.30 88.29 69.85
85 Bucknell Pat 14 Midwest 88.31% -18.78 76.90 95.69 76.77
150 Iona MAAC 15 Midwest 93.50% -24.10 76.37 100.46 75.70
96 Pennsylvania Ivy 16 Midwest 88.36% -18.49 70.49 88.98 74.43
44 Syracuse ACC 11 Midwest 77.62% -11.26 66.34 77.60 68.26
13 Xavier BigEast 1 West 64.98% -6.13 84.82 90.95 76.21
15 North Carolina ACC 2 West 66.36% -6.77 84.71 91.48 76.11
7 Michigan BigTen 3 West 57.29% -2.79 75.14 77.93 69.98
8 Gonzaga WCC 4 West 60.72% -4.26 82.09 86.35 73.93
17 Ohio State BigTen 5 West 67.06% -6.82 76.86 83.68 72.09
14 Houston AmCon 6 West 63.46% -5.33 78.36 83.69 72.98
54 Texas A&M SEC 7 West 81.69% -14.05 75.84 89.89 74.38
33 Missouri SEC 8 West 74.48% -10.11 73.59 83.70 70.55
18 Florida State ACC 9 West 70.08% -8.35 81.27 89.62 76.21
67 Providence BigEast 10 West 84.08% -15.29 72.65 87.94 72.96
56 San Diego State MWC 11 West 80.98% -13.66 74.58 88.24 74.12
78 South Dakota State Summit 12 West 86.05% -17.29 77.82 95.11 75.38
84 North Carolina-Greensboro SoCon 13 West 84.82% -15.52 65.38 80.90 69.72
103 Montana BigSky 14 West 89.34% -18.89 69.12 88.01 73.33
195 Lipscomb Asun 15 West 96.04% -28.32 73.87 102.19 81.03
309 North Carolina Central MEAC 16 West 99.02% -35.16 60.94 96.10 70.84
235 Texas Southern SWAC 16 West 97.86% -32.02 73.33 105.35 76.42