The following rankings show each team's expected neutral site, mid-season performance against Arizona St.. For detailed matchup infromation, click the team's name.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
| TAPE Rank | Team | Conference | Seed | Region | AZST Win% | Expected Margin | Expected Opponent Score | Expected Arizona St. Score | Expected Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Virginia | ACC | 1 | South | 20.81% | 12.06 | 76.87 | 64.81 | 66.00 |
| 6 | Cincinnati | AmCon | 2 | South | 29.07% | 8.43 | 81.46 | 73.02 | 71.80 |
| 22 | Tennessee | SEC | 3 | South | 39.13% | 4.25 | 82.50 | 78.25 | 72.94 |
| 16 | Arizona | Pac12 | 4 | South | 40.03% | 3.95 | 87.42 | 83.46 | 74.40 |
| 26 | Kentucky | SEC | 5 | South | 41.15% | 3.48 | 85.21 | 81.73 | 74.86 |
| 37 | Miami (FL) | ACC | 6 | South | 47.46% | 0.99 | 81.52 | 80.53 | 73.80 |
| 35 | Nevada | MWC | 7 | South | 44.09% | 2.39 | 90.12 | 87.73 | 77.29 |
| 19 | Creighton | BigEast | 8 | South | 41.88% | 3.35 | 91.43 | 88.08 | 78.70 |
| 38 | Kansas State | Big12 | 9 | South | 48.28% | 0.67 | 79.04 | 78.38 | 72.65 |
| 49 | Texas | Big12 | 10 | South | 52.22% | -0.86 | 77.18 | 78.04 | 72.22 |
| 39 | Loyola (IL) | MVC | 11 | South | 49.30% | 0.27 | 79.40 | 79.13 | 72.54 |
| 31 | Davidson | A10 | 12 | South | 46.41% | 1.41 | 83.42 | 82.01 | 70.79 |
| 77 | Buffalo | MAC | 13 | South | 60.84% | -4.47 | 89.46 | 93.94 | 80.21 |
| 151 | Wright State | Horiz | 14 | South | 78.36% | -12.26 | 71.50 | 83.76 | 74.87 |
| 104 | Georgia State | SunBelt | 15 | South | 67.54% | -7.16 | 77.95 | 85.11 | 73.64 |
| 198 | Maryland-Baltimore Co. | AmEast | 16 | South | 83.02% | -15.16 | 75.18 | 90.33 | 75.24 |
| 1 | Villanova | BigEast | 1 | East | 15.85% | 16.06 | 96.86 | 80.80 | 75.95 |
| 5 | Purdue | BigTen | 2 | East | 25.53% | 10.43 | 91.24 | 80.81 | 74.59 |
| 10 | Texas Tech | Big12 | 3 | East | 32.77% | 6.90 | 83.06 | 76.16 | 73.35 |
| 12 | Wichita State | AmCon | 4 | East | 35.66% | 5.89 | 90.40 | 84.51 | 76.20 |
| 11 | West Virginia | Big12 | 5 | East | 35.73% | 5.86 | 89.80 | 83.94 | 77.43 |
| 25 | Florida | SEC | 6 | East | 43.15% | 2.71 | 84.06 | 81.35 | 74.11 |
| 24 | Arkansas | SEC | 7 | East | 40.92% | 3.66 | 89.95 | 86.28 | 76.73 |
| 40 | Virginia Tech | ACC | 8 | East | 48.28% | 0.69 | 85.25 | 84.56 | 75.72 |
| 50 | Alabama | SEC | 9 | East | 54.82% | -1.89 | 80.50 | 82.39 | 75.68 |
| 27 | Butler | BigEast | 10 | East | 45.96% | 1.61 | 86.58 | 84.97 | 75.63 |
| 48 | St. Bonaventure | A10 | 11 | East | 48.01% | 0.78 | 84.41 | 83.62 | 75.35 |
| 81 | Murray State | OVC | 12 | East | 62.19% | -4.83 | 80.99 | 85.82 | 73.41 |
| 119 | Marshall | CUSA | 13 | East | 74.72% | -11.05 | 87.90 | 98.96 | 82.60 |
| 133 | Stephen F. Austin | Sland | 14 | East | 75.48% | -10.97 | 78.55 | 89.52 | 78.26 |
| 158 | Cal State Fullerton | BigWest | 15 | East | 80.85% | -13.63 | 75.05 | 88.68 | 76.17 |
| 292 | Long Island | NEC | 16 | East | 92.42% | -22.88 | 76.52 | 99.40 | 78.85 |
| 153 | Radford | BigSou | 16 | East | 77.11% | -11.19 | 68.33 | 79.52 | 69.27 |
| 57 | UCLA | Pac12 | 11 | East | 54.90% | -2.00 | 88.47 | 90.48 | 78.36 |
| 9 | Kansas | Big12 | 1 | Midwest | 30.02% | 8.45 | 93.01 | 84.57 | 76.47 |
| 3 | Duke | ACC | 2 | Midwest | 22.35% | 12.10 | 93.57 | 81.48 | 76.22 |
| 2 | Michigan State | BigTen | 3 | Midwest | 22.86% | 11.68 | 90.02 | 78.33 | 74.39 |
| 28 | Auburn | SEC | 4 | Midwest | 46.26% | 1.53 | 89.73 | 88.20 | 79.46 |
| 21 | Clemson | ACC | 5 | Midwest | 42.72% | 2.88 | 81.11 | 78.23 | 73.30 |
| 20 | Texas Christian | Big12 | 6 | Midwest | 41.90% | 3.24 | 89.37 | 86.13 | 75.35 |
| 30 | Rhode Island | A10 | 7 | Midwest | 45.19% | 1.88 | 84.39 | 82.52 | 75.37 |
| 32 | Seton Hall | BigEast | 8 | Midwest | 45.11% | 1.95 | 88.21 | 86.26 | 76.80 |
| 64 | North Carolina State | ACC | 9 | Midwest | 56.33% | -2.54 | 88.07 | 90.61 | 78.34 |
| 46 | Oklahoma | Big12 | 10 | Midwest | 52.65% | -1.11 | 93.82 | 94.93 | 82.62 |
| 52 | New Mexico State | WAC | 12 | Midwest | 51.99% | -0.78 | 80.62 | 81.41 | 76.38 |
| 105 | College of Charleston | CAA | 13 | Midwest | 68.16% | -7.28 | 77.06 | 84.34 | 71.96 |
| 85 | Bucknell | Pat | 14 | Midwest | 65.69% | -6.47 | 84.49 | 90.96 | 78.96 |
| 150 | Iona | MAAC | 15 | Midwest | 76.17% | -11.52 | 84.60 | 96.12 | 77.87 |
| 96 | Pennsylvania | Ivy | 16 | Midwest | 67.77% | -7.27 | 77.62 | 84.89 | 76.59 |
| 44 | Syracuse | ACC | 11 | Midwest | 49.83% | 0.06 | 73.49 | 73.43 | 70.35 |
| 13 | Xavier | BigEast | 1 | West | 35.30% | 6.10 | 92.52 | 86.42 | 78.40 |
| 15 | North Carolina | ACC | 2 | West | 37.23% | 5.31 | 92.84 | 87.53 | 78.29 |
| 7 | Michigan | BigTen | 3 | West | 31.44% | 7.45 | 82.43 | 74.98 | 72.09 |
| 8 | Gonzaga | WCC | 4 | West | 33.74% | 6.67 | 89.38 | 82.71 | 76.09 |
| 17 | Ohio State | BigTen | 5 | West | 39.94% | 4.00 | 84.16 | 80.16 | 74.23 |
| 14 | Houston | AmCon | 6 | West | 35.55% | 5.83 | 86.04 | 80.21 | 75.13 |
| 54 | Texas A&M | SEC | 7 | West | 55.14% | -2.04 | 82.97 | 85.01 | 76.55 |
| 33 | Missouri | SEC | 8 | West | 47.32% | 1.05 | 80.48 | 79.43 | 72.67 |
| 18 | Florida State | ACC | 9 | West | 42.64% | 2.99 | 88.67 | 85.69 | 78.40 |
| 67 | Providence | BigEast | 10 | West | 59.25% | -3.65 | 80.19 | 83.83 | 75.11 |
| 56 | San Diego State | MWC | 11 | West | 55.37% | -2.14 | 82.09 | 84.23 | 76.29 |
| 78 | South Dakota State | Summit | 12 | West | 59.74% | -4.00 | 86.19 | 90.19 | 77.55 |
| 84 | North Carolina-Greensboro | SoCon | 13 | West | 63.82% | -5.43 | 72.39 | 77.83 | 71.83 |
| 103 | Montana | BigSky | 14 | West | 69.77% | -7.99 | 76.79 | 84.78 | 75.48 |
| 195 | Lipscomb | Asun | 15 | West | 84.57% | -16.70 | 81.50 | 98.20 | 83.26 |
| 309 | North Carolina Central | MEAC | 16 | West | 93.79% | -23.61 | 68.02 | 91.64 | 72.96 |
| 235 | Texas Southern | SWAC | 16 | West | 87.80% | -18.75 | 81.66 | 100.41 | 78.61 |