The Matchup Zone

2018 NCAA Tournament Probabilities are now live.

2018 NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds

The following table lists each team's chances of advancing to a given round of the 2018 NCAA Tournament. Click any team's name for a listing of their matchups with the other tournament teams.

Click any column header to sort by that column's data.

Pre-Tournament Odds

Pre-Tournament Odds | Updated Tournament Odds

TAPE Rank TEAM SEED REGION Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final Four Champ. Game Champions 1 in ...
4 Virginia 1 South 100.0% 99.2% 82.3% 67.1% 51.1% 38.4% 23.8% 4
1 Villanova 1 East 100.0% 98.2% 84.1% 64.6% 44.9% 28.8% 17.9% 6
2 Michigan St. 3 Midwest 100.0% 93.8% 74.2% 44.5% 32.0% 17.3% 10.3% 10
3 Duke 2 Midwest 100.0% 97.1% 78.2% 42.1% 29.5% 15.5% 8.5% 12
5 Purdue 2 East 100.0% 97.0% 73.0% 50.3% 24.5% 13.1% 7.1% 14
6 Cincinnati 2 South 100.0% 90.1% 68.1% 48.5% 21.1% 12.3% 5.5% 18
7 Michigan 3 West 100.0% 89.9% 58.0% 38.3% 22.2% 9.8% 4.2% 24
9 Kansas 1 Midwest 100.0% 89.1% 65.8% 46.9% 20.3% 8.9% 4.1% 24
8 Gonzaga 4 West 100.0% 84.5% 55.7% 33.5% 18.8% 8.0% 3.2% 31
15 North Carolina 2 West 100.0% 96.6% 77.7% 35.3% 18.1% 6.7% 2.2% 45
13 Xavier 1 West 100.0% 98.5% 60.0% 30.9% 15.2% 5.3% 1.8% 56
10 Texas Tech 3 East 100.0% 91.3% 59.5% 26.2% 10.0% 4.3% 1.8% 56
12 Wichita St. 4 East 100.0% 91.6% 54.1% 17.6% 7.9% 3.2% 1.3% 77
14 Houston 6 West 100.0% 73.4% 33.1% 18.9% 9.6% 3.5% 1.2% 84
16 Arizona 4 South 100.0% 80.2% 49.4% 14.2% 7.1% 3.3% 1.1% 90
22 Tennessee 3 South 100.0% 89.0% 53.2% 22.3% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 121
11 West Virginia 5 East 100.0% 80.8% 40.6% 12.1% 5.2% 2.1% 0.8% 131
17 Ohio St. 5 West 100.0% 75.8% 34.5% 17.4% 7.7% 2.5% 0.8% 131
28 Auburn 4 Midwest 100.0% 80.8% 46.5% 19.6% 5.6% 1.5% 0.5% 215
19 Creighton 8 South 100.0% 54.0% 11.0% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 304
20 TCU 6 Midwest 100.0% 64.2% 17.7% 6.1% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 383
24 Arkansas 7 East 100.0% 57.5% 16.3% 7.6% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 446
18 Florida St. 9 West 100.0% 51.7% 21.4% 8.6% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 453
37 Miami (FL) 6 South 100.0% 56.1% 26.8% 9.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 468
26 Kentucky 5 South 100.0% 57.5% 25.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 490
25 Florida 6 East 100.0% 62.1% 27.0% 8.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 497
33 Missouri 8 West 100.0% 48.3% 18.5% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 528
21 Clemson 5 Midwest 100.0% 56.8% 29.1% 10.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 561
35 Nevada 7 South 100.0% 56.3% 17.6% 8.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 606
32 Seton Hall 8 Midwest 100.0% 64.2% 22.3% 11.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 645
31 Davidson 12 South 100.0% 42.5% 19.1% 4.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 699
30 Rhode Island 7 Midwest 100.0% 58.6% 14.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 740
38 Kansas St. 9 South 100.0% 46.0% 6.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 1,083
39 Loyola (IL) 11 South 100.0% 43.9% 18.3% 5.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 1,293
27 Butler 10 East 100.0% 42.5% 10.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1,346
40 Virginia Tech 8 East 100.0% 56.5% 9.5% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1,442
52 New Mexico St. 12 Midwest 100.0% 43.2% 19.7% 6.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 1,578
49 Texas 10 South 100.0% 43.7% 11.7% 4.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1,772
48 St. Bonaventure 11 East 58.1% 22.8% 8.0% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 4,333
50 Alabama 9 East 100.0% 43.5% 6.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 5,601
46 Oklahoma 10 Midwest 100.0% 41.4% 6.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 5,810
56 San Diego St. 11 West 100.0% 26.6% 7.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 5,824
54 Texas A&M 7 West 100.0% 55.5% 12.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 6,423
42 Arizona St. 11 Midwest 52.3% 19.9% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 7,336
64 N.C. State 9 Midwest 100.0% 35.8% 8.9% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 9,074
67 Providence 10 West 100.0% 44.5% 9.3% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 12,278
44 Syracuse 11 Midwest 47.7% 16.0% 2.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 13,115
57 UCLA 11 East 41.9% 15.1% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 21,589
78 South Dakota St. 12 West 100.0% 24.2% 5.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 24,111
77 Buffalo 13 South 100.0% 19.8% 5.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 36,689
84 UNC Greensboro 13 West 100.0% 15.5% 4.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 43,588
81 Murray St. 12 East 100.0% 19.2% 4.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 72,959
104 Georgia St. 15 South 100.0% 9.9% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 125,441
96 Pennsylvania 16 Midwest 100.0% 10.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 149,748
105 Charleston 13 Midwest 100.0% 19.2% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 233,218
85 Bucknell 14 Midwest 100.0% 6.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 291,250
103 Montana 14 West 100.0% 10.1% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 392,368
151 Wright St. 14 South 100.0% 11.0% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4,296,947
133 Stephen F. Austin 14 East 100.0% 8.7% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 4,879,548
119 Marshall 13 East 100.0% 8.4% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 7,919,857
150 Iona 15 Midwest 100.0% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11,310,745
153 Radford 16 East 78.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14,338,872
158 CSU Fullerton 15 East 100.0% 3.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 43,234,689
195 Lipscomb 15 West 100.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 196,164,020
198 MD Baltimore Co. 16 South 100.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1,344,793,251
235 Texas Southern 16 West 66.9% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 34,680,568,198
292 Long Island 16 East 21.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12,182,053,413,276
309 N.C. Central 16 West 33.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12,319,310,503,593