2018 NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds
The following table lists each team's chances of advancing to a given round of the 2018 NCAA Tournament. Click any team's name for a listing of their matchups with the other tournament teams.
Click any column header to sort by that column's data.
Pre-Tournament Odds
Pre-Tournament Odds | Updated Tournament Odds
TAPE Rank | TEAM | SEED | REGION | Round of 64 | Round of 32 | Sweet 16 | Elite 8 | Final Four | Champ. Game | Champions | 1 in ... |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Virginia | 1 | South | 100.0% | 99.2% | 82.3% | 67.1% | 51.1% | 38.4% | 23.8% | 4 |
1 | Villanova | 1 | East | 100.0% | 98.2% | 84.1% | 64.6% | 44.9% | 28.8% | 17.9% | 6 |
2 | Michigan St. | 3 | Midwest | 100.0% | 93.8% | 74.2% | 44.5% | 32.0% | 17.3% | 10.3% | 10 |
3 | Duke | 2 | Midwest | 100.0% | 97.1% | 78.2% | 42.1% | 29.5% | 15.5% | 8.5% | 12 |
5 | Purdue | 2 | East | 100.0% | 97.0% | 73.0% | 50.3% | 24.5% | 13.1% | 7.1% | 14 |
6 | Cincinnati | 2 | South | 100.0% | 90.1% | 68.1% | 48.5% | 21.1% | 12.3% | 5.5% | 18 |
7 | Michigan | 3 | West | 100.0% | 89.9% | 58.0% | 38.3% | 22.2% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 24 |
9 | Kansas | 1 | Midwest | 100.0% | 89.1% | 65.8% | 46.9% | 20.3% | 8.9% | 4.1% | 24 |
8 | Gonzaga | 4 | West | 100.0% | 84.5% | 55.7% | 33.5% | 18.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 31 |
15 | North Carolina | 2 | West | 100.0% | 96.6% | 77.7% | 35.3% | 18.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 45 |
13 | Xavier | 1 | West | 100.0% | 98.5% | 60.0% | 30.9% | 15.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 56 |
10 | Texas Tech | 3 | East | 100.0% | 91.3% | 59.5% | 26.2% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 56 |
12 | Wichita St. | 4 | East | 100.0% | 91.6% | 54.1% | 17.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 77 |
14 | Houston | 6 | West | 100.0% | 73.4% | 33.1% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 84 |
16 | Arizona | 4 | South | 100.0% | 80.2% | 49.4% | 14.2% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 90 |
22 | Tennessee | 3 | South | 100.0% | 89.0% | 53.2% | 22.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 121 |
11 | West Virginia | 5 | East | 100.0% | 80.8% | 40.6% | 12.1% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 131 |
17 | Ohio St. | 5 | West | 100.0% | 75.8% | 34.5% | 17.4% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 131 |
28 | Auburn | 4 | Midwest | 100.0% | 80.8% | 46.5% | 19.6% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 215 |
19 | Creighton | 8 | South | 100.0% | 54.0% | 11.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 304 |
20 | TCU | 6 | Midwest | 100.0% | 64.2% | 17.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 383 |
24 | Arkansas | 7 | East | 100.0% | 57.5% | 16.3% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 446 |
18 | Florida St. | 9 | West | 100.0% | 51.7% | 21.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 453 |
37 | Miami (FL) | 6 | South | 100.0% | 56.1% | 26.8% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 468 |
26 | Kentucky | 5 | South | 100.0% | 57.5% | 25.6% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 490 |
25 | Florida | 6 | East | 100.0% | 62.1% | 27.0% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 497 |
33 | Missouri | 8 | West | 100.0% | 48.3% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 528 |
21 | Clemson | 5 | Midwest | 100.0% | 56.8% | 29.1% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 561 |
35 | Nevada | 7 | South | 100.0% | 56.3% | 17.6% | 8.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 606 |
32 | Seton Hall | 8 | Midwest | 100.0% | 64.2% | 22.3% | 11.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 645 |
31 | Davidson | 12 | South | 100.0% | 42.5% | 19.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 699 |
30 | Rhode Island | 7 | Midwest | 100.0% | 58.6% | 14.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 740 |
38 | Kansas St. | 9 | South | 100.0% | 46.0% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1,083 |
39 | Loyola (IL) | 11 | South | 100.0% | 43.9% | 18.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 1,293 |
27 | Butler | 10 | East | 100.0% | 42.5% | 10.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,346 |
40 | Virginia Tech | 8 | East | 100.0% | 56.5% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,442 |
52 | New Mexico St. | 12 | Midwest | 100.0% | 43.2% | 19.7% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,578 |
49 | Texas | 10 | South | 100.0% | 43.7% | 11.7% | 4.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1,772 |
48 | St. Bonaventure | 11 | East | 58.1% | 22.8% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 4,333 |
50 | Alabama | 9 | East | 100.0% | 43.5% | 6.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5,601 |
46 | Oklahoma | 10 | Midwest | 100.0% | 41.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5,810 |
56 | San Diego St. | 11 | West | 100.0% | 26.6% | 7.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 5,824 |
54 | Texas A&M | 7 | West | 100.0% | 55.5% | 12.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 6,423 |
42 | Arizona St. | 11 | Midwest | 52.3% | 19.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 7,336 |
64 | N.C. State | 9 | Midwest | 100.0% | 35.8% | 8.9% | 3.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 9,074 |
67 | Providence | 10 | West | 100.0% | 44.5% | 9.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 12,278 |
44 | Syracuse | 11 | Midwest | 47.7% | 16.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 13,115 |
57 | UCLA | 11 | East | 41.9% | 15.1% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 21,589 |
78 | South Dakota St. | 12 | West | 100.0% | 24.2% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 24,111 |
77 | Buffalo | 13 | South | 100.0% | 19.8% | 5.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 36,689 |
84 | UNC Greensboro | 13 | West | 100.0% | 15.5% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 43,588 |
81 | Murray St. | 12 | East | 100.0% | 19.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 72,959 |
104 | Georgia St. | 15 | South | 100.0% | 9.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 125,441 |
96 | Pennsylvania | 16 | Midwest | 100.0% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 149,748 |
105 | Charleston | 13 | Midwest | 100.0% | 19.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 233,218 |
85 | Bucknell | 14 | Midwest | 100.0% | 6.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 291,250 |
103 | Montana | 14 | West | 100.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 392,368 |
151 | Wright St. | 14 | South | 100.0% | 11.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4,296,947 |
133 | Stephen F. Austin | 14 | East | 100.0% | 8.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4,879,548 |
119 | Marshall | 13 | East | 100.0% | 8.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7,919,857 |
150 | Iona | 15 | Midwest | 100.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 11,310,745 |
153 | Radford | 16 | East | 78.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 14,338,872 |
158 | CSU Fullerton | 15 | East | 100.0% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 43,234,689 |
195 | Lipscomb | 15 | West | 100.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 196,164,020 |
198 | MD Baltimore Co. | 16 | South | 100.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1,344,793,251 |
235 | Texas Southern | 16 | West | 66.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34,680,568,198 |
292 | Long Island | 16 | East | 21.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12,182,053,413,276 |
309 | N.C. Central | 16 | West | 33.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 12,319,310,503,593 |