The Matchup Zone

2017 Tourney Odds are now live.

2016 NCAA Tournament Advancement Odds

The following table lists each team's chances of advancing to a given round of the 2016 NCAA Tournament. Click any team's name for a listing of their matchups with the other tournament teams.

Click any column header to sort by that column's data.

Pre-Tournament Odds

Pre-Tournament Odds | Updated Tournament Odds

TAPE Rank TEAM SEED REGION Round of 64 Round of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final Four Champ. Game Champions 1 in ...
1 Kansas 1 South 100.0% 98.4% 78.1% 59.3% 40.6% 29.6% 17.9% 6
2 Michigan St. 2 Midwest 100.0% 91.6% 75.2% 55.5% 35.6% 22.6% 14.5% 7
4 Virginia 1 Midwest 100.0% 97.7% 72.2% 46.9% 26.1% 15.6% 9.1% 11
3 North Carolina 1 East 100.0% 97.5% 77.2% 42.7% 26.4% 13.2% 7.3% 14
5 Kentucky 4 East 100.0% 90.3% 59.1% 33.6% 21.1% 11.2% 6.4% 16
8 West Virginia 3 East 100.0% 78.0% 54.8% 35.0% 18.4% 9.2% 5.0% 20
11 Oklahoma 2 West 100.0% 85.7% 59.8% 37.4% 22.3% 10.2% 4.5% 22
6 Villanova 2 South 100.0% 88.2% 54.2% 29.5% 13.7% 7.8% 3.6% 28
17 Oregon 1 West 100.0% 95.8% 58.9% 32.9% 17.0% 7.0% 2.8% 36
10 Purdue 5 Midwest 100.0% 76.3% 47.5% 22.9% 11.1% 5.4% 2.7% 37
14 Miami (FL) 3 South 100.0% 88.7% 46.2% 24.9% 11.0% 6.2% 2.7% 37
20 Texas A&M 3 West 100.0% 86.5% 52.8% 27.5% 14.9% 6.0% 2.3% 43
13 Xavier 2 East 100.0% 90.1% 55.8% 28.8% 12.3% 4.9% 2.2% 45
21 Duke 4 West 100.0% 74.3% 42.9% 23.9% 13.1% 5.4% 2.1% 48
12 Indiana 5 East 100.0% 85.3% 37.2% 17.2% 8.6% 3.7% 1.8% 57
15 Arizona 6 South 100.0% 51.7% 27.2% 14.3% 6.0% 3.3% 1.3% 75
19 Iowa St. 4 Midwest 100.0% 81.1% 40.1% 16.7% 6.8% 2.8% 1.2% 82
26 Baylor 5 West 100.0% 68.1% 36.0% 18.4% 8.9% 3.4% 1.2% 83
22 Maryland 5 South 100.0% 73.2% 42.0% 14.2% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 86
9 Wichita St. 11 South 56.2% 30.0% 16.6% 9.1% 4.2% 2.4% 1.1% 92
24 Iowa 7 South 100.0% 72.4% 35.9% 15.9% 5.9% 3.0% 1.1% 95
23 California 4 South 100.0% 64.2% 34.8% 12.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 96
27 Utah 3 Midwest 100.0% 72.5% 37.1% 13.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.9% 114
35 Texas 6 West 100.0% 66.4% 32.8% 15.7% 7.5% 2.6% 0.8% 120
16 Gonzaga 11 Midwest 100.0% 52.2% 29.6% 11.1% 4.6% 1.8% 0.8% 130
32 Wisconsin 7 East 100.0% 59.6% 27.4% 12.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 184
25 Seton Hall 6 Midwest 100.0% 47.8% 25.8% 8.9% 3.4% 1.2% 0.5% 212
38 Cincinnati 9 West 100.0% 54.8% 23.5% 10.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 233
31 Connecticut 9 South 100.0% 58.2% 14.0% 6.9% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 245
34 Notre Dame 6 East 100.0% 55.8% 21.4% 9.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 295
40 VCU 10 West 100.0% 58.5% 23.1% 9.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.3% 329
29 Butler 9 Midwest 100.0% 57.8% 17.3% 7.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 344
28 Vanderbilt 11 South 43.8% 18.3% 8.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 383
44 St. Joseph's 8 West 100.0% 45.2% 17.3% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 539
33 Syracuse 10 Midwest 100.0% 55.9% 12.7% 5.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 655
41 Michigan 11 East 59.0% 28.5% 9.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 770
49 Pittsburgh 10 East 100.0% 40.4% 14.9% 5.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 992
50 Colorado 8 South 100.0% 41.8% 7.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 1,085
51 Texas Tech 8 Midwest 100.0% 42.2% 10.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1,096
45 Providence 9 East 100.0% 48.9% 11.0% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 1,236
56 Yale 12 West 100.0% 31.9% 12.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1,261
67 Oregon St. 7 West 100.0% 41.5% 12.4% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 1,313
47 Southern Cal 8 East 100.0% 51.1% 11.5% 2.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 1,442
61 Dayton 7 Midwest 100.0% 44.1% 9.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 1,447
60 Hawaii 13 South 100.0% 35.8% 14.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 1,734
48 Stephen F. Austin 14 East 100.0% 22.0% 9.2% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 2,009
74 Northern Iowa 11 West 100.0% 33.6% 11.4% 3.5% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 2,105
68 Ark. Little Rock 12 Midwest 100.0% 23.7% 8.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 3,697
81 UNC Wilmington 13 West 100.0% 25.7% 8.8% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 3,764
64 Tulsa 11 East 41.0% 15.7% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 3,979
83 South Dakota St. 12 South 100.0% 26.8% 8.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 5,902
82 Temple 10 South 100.0% 27.6% 7.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 6,381
85 Fresno St. 14 Midwest 100.0% 27.5% 7.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 8,790
111 CSU Bakersfield 15 West 100.0% 14.3% 4.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 24,421
102 Iona 13 Midwest 100.0% 18.9% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 33,817
108 Middle Tennessee St. 15 Midwest 100.0% 8.4% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 35,109
113 Stony Brook 13 East 100.0% 9.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 78,249
146 Green Bay 14 West 100.0% 13.5% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 160,402
141 UNC Asheville 15 South 100.0% 11.8% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 239,900
143 Chattanooga 12 East 100.0% 14.7% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 326,991
133 Buffalo 14 South 100.0% 11.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 396,767
161 Weber St. 15 East 100.0% 9.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 560,677
169 Florida Gulf Coast 16 East 68.8% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 9,249,280
231 Austin Peay 16 South 100.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 40,441,066
261 Southern 16 West 61.0% 2.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 137,746,701
257 Hampton 16 Midwest 100.0% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 167,731,493
287 Holy Cross 16 West 39.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 943,293,376
286 Fairleigh Dickinson 16 East 31.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 5,211,015,748