The Matchup Zone

Michigan State Spartans

2017 Michigan State Projections

2017 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Ben Carter SR PF 2.14 (127) -1.41 (132) 0.87 (164) 1.36 (266)
Eron Harris SR SG 0.60 (449) 0.20 (879) 0.17 (429) 1.27 (312)
Gavin Schilling SR PF 1.03 (338) -0.01 (734) 0.35 (325) 1.26 (319)
Joshua Langford FR SG -0.59 (902) -1.56 (110) 0.34 (329) 1.12 (431)
Nick Ward FR PF 0.83 (389) -0.54 (391) 0.31 (349) 1.09 (444)
Matt McQuaid SO Combo -1.09 (1184) -1.42 (130) 0.11 (470) 1.05 (486)
Miles Bridges FR SF -0.47 (851) -1.33 (144) 0.25 (381) 0.85 (687)
Alvin Ellis III SR SG 0.48 (482) -2.16 (43) 0.48 (274) 0.80 (769)
Cassius Winston FR PG -1.29 (1312) -1.62 (102) 0.09 (485) 0.72 (891)
Kenny Goins SO PF 2.20 (120) -0.76 (305) 0.48 (276) 0.71 (909)
Lourawls Nairn Jr JR PG -5.08 (3466) -0.02 (719) -1.27 (2368) 0.04 (2623)
Kyle Ahrens SO SF -1.74 (1585) 2.16 (2764) -0.43 (1023) 0.03 (2645)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Eron Harris SR SG 26.3 5.1 10.1 2.1 4.5 2.8 3.4 0.9 3.1 4.1 2.7 1.9 0.7 0.1 1.5 15.1
Gavin Schilling SR PF 23.5 4.2 7.7 0.0 0.1 2.6 3.7 2.0 4.5 6.6 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.9 2.6 10.9
Matt McQuaid SO Combo 22.0 2.9 6.1 1.6 3.4 1.0 1.3 0.5 1.8 2.4 3.1 1.2 0.8 0.3 1.6 8.4
Joshua Langford FR SG 21.0 3.6 7.2 1.1 2.5 1.6 2.3 0.8 2.3 3.1 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 1.5 10.0
Nick Ward FR PF 19.4 2.7 5.0 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 1.9 3.3 5.3 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.9 2.0 6.9
Ben Carter SR PF 18.2 2.1 3.6 0.1 0.1 1.4 1.9 1.8 3.2 5.1 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.9 5.6
Miles Bridges FR SF 16.2 2.7 5.4 0.8 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.0 2.2 3.2 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.3 7.3
Cassius Winston FR PG 15.0 2.1 4.3 0.7 1.6 0.9 1.3 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 1.2 5.8
Lourawls Nairn Jr JR PG 13.6 0.5 1.9 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.1 1.1 1.3 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.9 2.0
Alvin Ellis III SR SG 11.9 1.5 3.4 0.7 1.7 0.7 1.1 0.5 1.7 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.7 0.2 1.4 4.5
Kenny Goins SO PF 10.1 0.8 1.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 2.1 3.0 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.1
Kyle Ahrens SO SF 2.6 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 27.8 58.8 7.7 18.2 12.6 17.4 12.0 27.7 39.6 17.8 12.8 7.0 4.3 17.9 75.9
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 24.6 59.5 6.3 19.1 13.9 19.5 12.9 23.8 12.9 11.9 11.7 6.5 3.7 16.9 69.3