The Matchup Zone

Michigan State Spartans

2016 Michigan State Projections

2016 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Denzel Valentine SR SG 3.57 (34) -2.38 (47) 3.08 (12) 2.85 (7)
Matt Costello SR Big 1.43 (178) 0.52 (1061) 0.32 (278) 1.16 (366)
Eron Harris JR+ Wing 0.17 (426) 0.28 (869) -0.05 (464) 1.04 (457)
Bryn Forbes SR Combo -0.58 (787) 0.18 (806) -0.32 (775) 0.97 (525)
Deyonta Davis FR PF -1.18 (1180) 0.21 (834) -0.26 (691) 0.49 (1337)
Lourawls Nairn Jr SO Combo -1.59 (1508) 0.76 (1289) -0.83 (1756) 0.47 (1382)
Marvin Clark Jr SO PF -0.17 (558) 0.19 (814) -0.09 (505) 0.47 (1388)
Gavin Schilling JR Big -0.82 (945) 1.95 (2632) -0.80 (1701) 0.35 (1649)
Wollenman Colby SR PF -1.04 (1092) 0.79 (1320) -0.26 (703) 0.20 (2132)
Kyle Ahrens FR SG -3.38 (2739) -0.42 (443) -0.51 (1135) 0.20 (2153)
Javon Bess SO PF 1.03 (217) 0.90 (1450) 0.01 (425) 0.17 (2236)
Matt McQuaid FR SG -3.00 (2536) -0.82 (267) -0.47 (1056) 0.15 (2326)
Alvin Ellis III JR SG -6.25 (3450) -0.96 (220) -0.91 (1916) 0.01 (2807)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Denzel Valentine SR SG 30.2 4.8 11.2 2.5 6.1 2.3 2.9 1.3 5.3 6.6 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.2 1.9 14.5
Bryn Forbes SR Combo 25.0 3.1 6.7 1.9 4.2 1.4 1.8 0.3 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.7 9.7
Eron Harris JR+ Wing 23.6 4.8 9.6 2.1 4.6 2.8 3.3 0.6 2.5 3.1 1.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 1.6 14.4
Matt Costello SR Big 22.0 3.0 5.8 0.1 0.3 2.2 2.9 2.6 4.0 6.6 0.8 1.0 0.5 1.4 2.8 8.2
Lourawls Nairn Jr SO Combo 18.6 1.0 3.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.6 0.2 1.7 1.9 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.1 3.1
Gavin Schilling JR Big 16.1 2.0 3.9 0.0 0.0 1.5 2.3 1.7 2.4 4.1 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.7 2.5 5.4
Deyonta Davis FR PF 14.6 1.5 3.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.4 4.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.5 1.1 3.8
Alvin Ellis III JR SG 12.9 1.0 2.8 0.4 1.4 0.9 1.7 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 1.5 3.2
Marvin Clark Jr SO PF 11.1 1.6 3.6 0.6 1.7 1.0 1.4 0.9 1.6 2.5 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.3 1.4 4.8
Kyle Ahrens FR SG 9.8 0.7 2.1 0.2 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.6 1.9
Wollenman Colby SR PF 6.9 0.6 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.2 1.7 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3
Matt McQuaid FR SG 5.5 0.5 1.5 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.4
Javon Bess SO PF 3.7 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 23.9 55.1 8.6 21.8 12.0 17.2 10.5 25.5 36.0 12.3 11.4 5.7 3.1 18.7 68.0
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 23.5 55.7 6.2 18.8 14.7 21.0 12.9 25.6 12.9 11.1 11.2 6.0 2.6 16.8 65.4