The Matchup Zone

Michigan State Spartans

2015 Michigan State Projections

2015 Projected PAPER Ratings

Player Class Pos Off. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Def. Rate (Nat'l Rank) Value/40 (Nat'l Rank) WINS (Nat'l Rank)
Branden Dawson SR PF 4.96 (17) -2.36 (60) 2.73 (16) 3.50 (3)
Denzel Valentine JR Wing 2.25 (125) -2.44 (58) 2.22 (30) 2.57 (41)
Travis Trice SR PG 1.39 (228) -0.54 (458) 0.72 (198) 1.86 (150)
Matt Costello JR Big 1.08 (283) 0.26 (955) 0.23 (360) 1.15 (487)
Lourawls Nairn Jr FR PG -3.37 (2808) -1.66 (131) -0.42 (1389) 0.64 (1071)
Marvin Clark Jr FR SF -2.28 (2066) -0.19 (648) -0.35 (1222) 0.45 (1394)
Javon Bess FR SF -2.28 (2066) -0.19 (648) -0.35 (1222) 0.45 (1394)
Alvin Ellis III SO SG -3.19 (2708) -0.19 (647) -0.73 (2038) 0.37 (1582)
Gavin Schilling SO PF -1.79 (1724) 3.03 (3765) -0.88 (2321) 0.05 (2641)

Player Per-Game Projections

Projected per-game averages, normalized to BCS-average opponent.

Player Class Pos MIN FGM FGA 3GM 3GA FTM FTA OREB DREB REB AST TO STL BLK PF PTS
Branden Dawson SR PF 33.2 7.1 11.7 0.1 0.3 2.8 4.1 3.9 6.8 10.6 1.7 1.7 1.4 1.1 1.9 17.0
Denzel Valentine JR Wing 30.5 4.1 9.7 1.7 4.2 1.9 2.6 1.6 5.2 6.7 3.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 2.5 11.7
Travis Trice SR PG 30.3 4.8 9.8 2.7 5.5 1.9 2.3 0.4 2.2 2.6 3.0 1.5 1.3 0.2 2.3 14.4
Matt Costello JR Big 22.2 2.8 5.1 0.0 0.1 1.9 2.9 2.4 3.3 5.7 1.2 1.1 0.5 2.3 3.1 7.5
Lourawls Nairn Jr FR PG 20.9 2.0 5.5 0.4 1.9 1.0 1.6 0.5 1.8 2.3 2.7 1.9 1.0 0.2 1.3 5.4
Alvin Ellis III SO SG 18.6 2.2 4.5 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.8 0.6 1.2 1.9 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.2 2.3 6.2
Marvin Clark Jr FR SF 16.4 1.6 4.2 0.4 1.5 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.9 2.9 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.2 4.2
Javon Bess FR SF 16.4 1.6 4.2 0.4 1.5 0.7 1.2 1.0 1.9 2.9 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.3 1.2 4.2
Gavin Schilling SO PF 9.8 1.1 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 2.7 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.4 1.9 2.8
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 26.2 59.0 8.4 21.0 11.0 16.3 13.1 24.4 37.6 13.8 12.0 7.1 4.7 19.1 71.7
Michigan State TEAM 200.0 21.3 53.2 6.1 18.4 15.3 22.0 11.4 22.7 11.4 10.7 12.6 6.6 3.2 16.3 64.0