The Matchup Zone

Duke at North Carolina

Saturday March 4, 2017, 8:15 pm, Chapel Hill, NC (Dean E. Smith Center)

Game Information

Duke Blue Devils Statistical Category North Carolina Tar Heels
Expected Projected Actual Actual Projected Expected
77.0 74.5 83 Points 90 82.9 86.6
72.1 70.1 70 Possessions 73 70.1 72.1
23.7 23.2% 0% Win% 100% 76.8% 76.3%
Expected Projected Actual Four Factors Actual Projected Expected
50.8% 51.2% 50.9% Effective FG% 55.2% 51.0% 50.6%
17.1% 17.2% 11.4% Turnover% 12.3% 15.0% 14.8%
28.2% 27.8% 25.8% Offensive Rebound% 34.3% 43.3% 45.4%
24.0% 20.8% 51.9% FTM to FGA Ratio 23.9% 20.6% 23.6%
Expected Projected Actual Line Score Actual Projected Expected
26.5 26.3 24 FG Made 34 31.9 32.5
61.3 60.5 54 FG Attempts 67 67.7 69.5
43.2% 43.6% 44.4% FG Percent 50.7% 47.2% 46.8%
9.3 9.2 7 3-Point Makes 6 5.1 5.3
25.6 26.0 19 3-Point Att. 17 15.7 17.6
36.2% 35.5% 36.8% 3-Point Pct 35.3% 32.8% 29.9%
14.7 12.6 28 FT Made 16 13.9 16.4
19.1 16.7 35 FT Attempts 21 19.7 23.0
76.9% 75.6% 80.0% FT Percent 76.2% 70.8% 71.2%
10.6 10.2 8 Off. Rebounds 12 17.0 18.6
22.4 22.3 23 Def. Rebounds 23 26.4 26.9
10.9 11.5 8 Assists 19 16.9 18.8
12.3 12.1 8 Turnovers 9 10.5 10.7
4.9 4.9 4 Blocks 2 2.8 2.9
5.6 5.0 8 Steals 4 5.8 6.4
22.4 20.8 17 Fouls 22 19.3 20.5