The Matchup Zone

Duke at North Carolina

Saturday March 9, 2013, 9:00 pm, Chapel Hill, NC (Dean E. Smith Center)

Game Information

Duke Blue Devils Statistical Category North Carolina Tar Heels
Expected Projected Actual Actual Projected Expected
78.2 79.4 69 Points 53 75.1 73.6
71.3 72.7 60 Possessions 60 72.7 71.3
63.6 61.7% 100% Win% 0% 38.3% 36.4%
Expected Projected Actual Four Factors Actual Projected Expected
52.2% 52.4% 60.2% Effective FG% 34.7% 47.5% 46.8%
17.0% 16.9% 25.0% Turnover% 18.3% 18.5% 17.6%
28.0% 27.4% 40.9% Offensive Rebound% 43.9% 34.9% 34.1%
23.9% 22.6% 20.4% FTM to FGA Ratio 16.1% 20.6% 21.0%
Expected Projected Actual Line Score Actual Projected Expected
27.8 28.3 27 FG Made 21 28.3 27.5
60.9 62.4 49 FG Attempts 62 64.9 64.2
45.6% 45.3% 55.1% FG Percent 33.9% 43.5% 42.8%
8.1 8.8 5 3-Point Makes 1 5.2 5.2
20.5 21.3 15 3-Point Att. 14 15.6 16.0
39.4% 41.1% 33.3% 3-Point Pct 7.1% 33.6% 32.7%
14.6 14.1 10 FT Made 10 13.4 13.5
19.4 19.0 12 FT Attempts 13 20.2 19.8
75.3% 74.1% 83.3% FT Percent 76.9% 66.1% 67.8%
10.3 10.3 9 Off. Rebounds 18 14.5 14.1
27.3 27.2 23 Def. Rebounds 13 27.4 26.4
13.0 13.8 12 Assists 10 14.0 13.8
12.2 12.3 15 Turnovers 11 13.4 12.6
3.4 3.7 1 Blocks 2 2.8 2.8
6.5 6.9 5 Steals 6 6.5 6.6
17.8 18.0 14 Fouls 13 17.4 17.6