The Matchup Zone

Duke at North Carolina

Saturday March 5, 2011, 8:00 pm, Chapel Hill, NC (Dean E. Smith Center)

Game Information

Duke Blue Devils Statistical Category North Carolina Tar Heels
Expected Projected Actual Actual Projected Expected
76.8 80.0 67 Points 81 77.3 75.4
72.1 74.6 70 Possessions 70 74.6 72.1
54.1 57.5% 0% Win% 100% 42.5% 45.9%
Expected Projected Actual Four Factors Actual Projected Expected
48.8% 49.5% 40.3% Effective FG% 55.6% 45.8% 46.6%
17.8% 17.5% 12.9% Turnover% 14.3% 18.9% 19.2%
52.5% 52.9% 28.6% Offensive Rebound% 34.3% 55.0% 55.6%
20.5% 20.5% 27.4% FTM to FGA Ratio 17.5% 26.1% 26.3%
Expected Projected Actual Line Score Actual Projected Expected
27.6 28.7 22 FG Made 33 28.2 27.6
65.1 66.9 62 FG Attempts 63 65.7 63.2
42.4% 42.9% 35.5% FG Percent 52.4% 43.0% 43.7%
8.4 8.8 6 3-Point Makes 4 3.7 3.6
24.2 25.3 27 3-Point Att. 9 12.5 11.7
34.6% 34.9% 22.2% 3-Point Pct 44.4% 29.4% 30.8%
13.3 13.7 17 FT Made 11 17.1 16.6
17.8 18.5 22 FT Attempts 21 25.3 24.9
75.0% 74.0% 77.3% FT Percent 52.4% 67.5% 66.8%
13.1 13.1 12 Off. Rebounds 12 16.0 15.6
12.5 13.1 23 Def. Rebounds 30 11.6 11.8
12.2 12.9 9 Assists 18 15.2 14.5
12.8 13.1 9 Turnovers 10 14.1 13.9
2.9 3.2 2 Blocks 1 5.2 6.2
7.8 8.2 4 Steals 3 5.7 6.2
20.8 21.0 21 Fouls 18 17.7 17.3